Jimmy Boyd Jimmy Boyd
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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 21, 2017
Iowa vs. Northwestern
Total
47½ -110
  at  BMAKER
in 13h

Free Pick on Iowa/Northwestern OVER 

I like the value here with the total sitting at less than 50 points for Saturday's Big Ten matchup between Northwestern and Iowa. These two teams combined for 69 points last year with a total of just 44.5 and have combined for at least 50 in each of the last 3 meetings. 

Iowa scored a season-high 45 against Illinois before going into their bye week and I look for the offense to have no problem scoring here against what I feel is a pretty average Northwestern defense. The Hawkeyes have a power running game that's going to be tough for the Wildcats to stop and that should open up the door for some big plays through the air against a Northwestern secondary that ranks 101st in the country, giving up 249.7 ypg.

I also think we haven't seen the best of what this Iowa offense has to offer, which is in the first year of a new starter. I look for the bye week to do wonders for sophomore quarterback Nathan Stanley, who has thrown 15 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions and could have a few more scores on some deep balls he's just overthrown. 

The Hawkeyes have a strong defense like they have just about every year under Kirk Ferentz, but they aren't an elite unit this year and actually come in ranked just 70th in the country in total defense. I think both teams score well into the 20s and easily eclipse the mark. Take the OVER! 

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Knicks vs Thunder
Thunder
-12 -107 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Thunder -

I see no reason why OKC won't turn this into a blowout against the Knicks tonight, as they open the season at home in a nationally televised game on TNT. This team built around the all-star trio of Westbrook, Anthony and George aren't going to be as good right now as they will be in December, but they don't need to be great to dismantle this Knicks team. 

New York is in full on rebuilding mode and simply don't have the offensive playmakers to keep this close. Rookie point guard Frank Ntilikina will be wondering what he got himself into when he tries to guard Westbrook. At the same time, Westbrook is going to make his life miserable when he has the ball. The Knicks didn't even average 100 points/game in the preseason and I don't see them coming close to the century mark in this one. 

There's also a little extra incentive here for the Thunder players to make sure Carmelo gets a win against his former team. It might not be pretty at times, but OKC should pull away and win this by at least 15 points. Take Oklahoma City! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Knicks vs Thunder
UNDER 215 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* Knicks/Thunder NO LIMIT Top Play on Thunder/Knicks UNDER

This is just too many points for this matchup. I believe we are seeing a high total here because of the fact that the Thunder now have 3 superstars in Russell Westbrook, Paul George and Carmelo Anthony. As good as those 3 are, it's going to take some time for these guys to form a chemistry on offense. George and Anthony are accustomed to being "the guy," but will have to learn to take a back seat to Westbrook. 

I think it takes as much as the first 20 games before this team really gels. The other thing is the depth isn't what it use to be. The Thunder are going struggle to get a whole lot out of their bench. 

There's also a decent chance the starters don't play the entire game here, as the Knicks have the makings of one of the worst teams in the league. New York just doesn't have the offensive fire-power and in today's game where everyone is lighting up the scoreboard, they didn't even average 100 ppg in the preseason when no one is playing defense. I don't see the offense doing much here on the road in what's going to be electric atmosphere inside Chesapeake Energy Arena. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Clippers vs Lakers
UNDER 219½ -108 Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Free Pick on Lakers/Clippers UNDER

I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's showdown between the Lakers and Clippers on TNT. This would have been a decent number last year, but these are two completely different teams. The Lakers are adjusting to life with rooking point guard Lonzo Ball. He's extremely talented, but his jump shot still needs a lot of work. 

I think Ball is going to have his hands full in this one, as he's up against one of the best defenders at the position in Patrick Beverley. He's going to do everything in his power to make life miserable for Ball and if he struggles the offensive output figures to take a hit. 

This Lakers team also has a new focus on the defensive end, as they really made it a point of emphasis to get better on that side of the ball. They showed some positive signs of being improved in the preseason and I think it carries over here against a Clippers team that figures to find life a lot more difficult offensively without Chris Paul at the point. Not to mention they lost their best 3-point shooter in J.J. Reddick and elite bench scorer Jamal Crawford. 

It doesn't hurt matters that the UNDER has cashed 9 times in the last 11 meetings. Take the UNDER! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2017
Bulls vs Raptors
Bulls
+13 -108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bulls +

I think we are seeing a big overreaction here with this line. It's well known the Bulls are going to be one of the worst teams in the league and they were just in the news for the wrong reasons with a couple teammates getting into it at practice. No one is giving this team a shot and while I don't see them winning this game, I think they surprise here and keep it much closer than expected. 

As good as the Raptors are it's not going to be easy to get excited about playing a team like Chicago, who has a bunch of nobody's on the roster. The one thing to keep in mind is that with the loss of Rondo, Butler and Wade, they can incorporate more of head coach Fred Hoiberg's offensive scheme, which is floor spacing and attacking with the 3-point shot. 

Toronto also has a history of not being able to cash against this team. The Bulls are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 trips to Toronto. They make it 8-0 tonight. Take Chicago! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
UL-Lafayette vs Arkansas State
UNDER 65½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* Lafayette/Arkansas St Sun Belt DESTROYER on Lafayette UNDER

These weekday Sun Belt games are much lower-scoring than the overall numbers would suggest. So while we have two defenses that are near the bottom of the country in yards allowed, I expect this to go under the high total that's been set here. One of the reasons the defensive numbers are so bad for these teams is the big programs they play in non-conference. Lafayette played both Tulsa and Texas A&M and Arkansas State had to face both Nebraska and SMU. 

A prime example of how much lower-scoring these games can be is last week's contest with Lafayette against Texas State. The total was 55 and getting pounded by the public, yet the game finished with a final score of 24-7. The previous week the Ragin' Cajuns scored just 21 against Idaho. Arkansas State has allowed just 25 and 17 points in their two conference games. 

UNDER is 10-2-1 in Lafayette's last 13 conference games and 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. UNDER is also 11-4-1 in Arkansas State's last 16 overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 20 points. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 19, 2017
Chiefs vs Raiders
Raiders
+3 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* Chiefs/Raiders AFC West GAME OF THE MONTH on Raiders +

I really like the value here with Oakland catching points at home in a prime time Thursday night matchup. It can't be underestimated how tough it is on the road team in these Thursday game and this a long trip out West for the Chiefs. 

Kansas City has been praised as the league's best team, but looked nothing like it in last week's home loss to the Steelers, where they couldn't even get a first down in the 1st half. It has them overvalued here by the books. 

Oakland has lost 4 straight and are now just 2-4 on the season. A loss here and there hopes of making the playoffs take a huge hit. This is every bit a "must-win" game for the home team

Expect to see the Raiders lay everything on the line and you can count on a rowdy and loud crowd here, as these two fan bases hate the opposing team. The home team has a big edge in these rivalry games and I look for the Raiders to save their season here and pull out the win. Take Oakland! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2017
Memphis vs Houston
Memphis
+3 -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* Memphis/Houston Thurs Night ATS NO BRAINER on Memphis +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching points against the Cougars. I really think Memphis is the much better team and should be favored in this contest.

I had hight hopes for this Houston team coming into the season,  even after losing Herman. A big reason for that was they added in Texas A&M transfer Kyle Allen, who was the number recruit in his class at QB out of high school. Allen was a complete bust and quickly lost his job. Backup Kyle Postma hasn't been a whole lot better, as he's thrown 5 picks. 

Clearly there's something wrong with the offense if they are only scoring 17 points against Tulsa, who they lost to 17-45. The same Tulsa team that had started 1-5 and just lost 28-62 to Navy. Overall the Cougars are averaging just 25.5 ppg, which more than 10 points less than last year's average of 35.8. 

Memphis' offense ranks 14th in the country behind one the nation's most potent passing attacks that's headlined by quarterback Riley Ferguson (1,814 yards, 19-5 TD-INT ratio) and wide out Anthony Miller (45 catches, 606 yards, 9 TDs). The Tigers defense is also much better than the numbers, as their opponents in 2017 are averaging 472 ypg. They have simply faced some dynamic offenses. I'll take the team that's going to have the much easier time moving the ball in this one. Take Memphis! 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Pistons vs Wizards
OVER 210½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons OVER

Washington combined for 235 points with the 76ers in their home opener and I see another high-scoring game against Detroit at home tonight. The Wizards are down starting power forward Markieff Morris and may also be without his backup in Jason smith, who left the last game with a shoulder injury. They don't have a lot of other options outside of moving Kelly Oubre Jr. into the 4, which becomes a much more uptempo offense in their version of 'small ball' 

Detroit held the Hornets to just 90 points in their opener, but Charlotte was down 3 key players in Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Nicolas Batum and Michael-Carter Williams. While that aided their defense, the Pistons offense was sharp, connecting on 43% from the field. They are more than capable of running with the Wizards. Both teams should easily get to 100 points and have this finishing closer to 220. Take the OVER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Magic vs Nets
OVER 223½ -103 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nets OVER

Defense is clearly not a priority for the Nets. Brooklyn ranked 2nd to last in points allowed last year at 112.5 ppg and started out the 2017 season by giving up 140 to a Pacers team that lost their best scorer in Paul George. The big difference is that the Nets now have some offensive fire-power to stay with teams. They scored 131 against the Pacers and even with the loss of Lin, should continue to score at a high rate. 

Orlando put up 116 in their opener against the Heat, while giving up 109 and that was with Miami shooting just 43% from the field. Both these teams want to push the pace and play in the open court, which should have us flying over the mark set by the books. 

History is also on our side here. The OVER is hitting at a 61% clip since 1996 when you have a team off a combined score of 225 or more against a team off a combined score of 235 or more. Take the OVER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 20, 2017
Yankees vs Astros
Astros
-137 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

3* Yankees/Astros Game 6 HEAVY HITTER on Houston -

It's hard to go against a team that's won 3 straight, but I just see too much value here in the Astros at home with Verlander on the mound. Verlander has been lights out down the stretch and was incredible in Game 2 against these Yankees, giving up just 1 run with 13 K's, while going the distance. 

Yankees send out Luis Severino, who I'm not convinced can shoulder the load of this game. All I can recall is that Wild Card start against the Twins, where he gave up 3 runs while recording just 1 out in the Top of the 1st before getting pulled. He also wasn't great in Game 2 opposite of Verlander, lasting just 4 innings without a single strikeout. I think Houston's offense comes to life here and they send this to a Game 7. Take Houston! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Warriors vs Pelicans
Warriors
-8 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA Late Night VEGAS INSIDER  on Warriors -

Unfortunately for the Pelicans they are going to get a pissed off Warriors team, who has to be chomping at the bit to get back on the floor after blowing a 15-point lead in the 2nd half in a 121-122 home loss to the Rockets. There was some concern here with Draymond Green being able to play, but he's going to be in action. 

New Orleans has two of the best big men in the game, but that's about it. Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins both had a double-double and combined for 61 points, but only managed 91 for the game and lost by 8 to a pretty average Memphis team. I just don't see the Pelicans having enough offense, mainly 3-point shooting, to keep this competitive. Take Golden State! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Cavs vs Bucks
Cavs
-2 -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Cavs -

Not to take anything away from the Bucks, who are going to be a force in the east for years to come, but this is simply too good of a price to pass up on the Cavs. Cleveland let a big lead slip away in an unfortunate non-cover against the Celtics at home on Tuesday, winning 102-99 as a 4.5-point favorite. That's helped us here with this line, plus we can count on the Cavs not taking their foot off the gas in this one. 

Losing Irving hurts, but I really like the moves Cleveland made in the offseason and really believe they are a better overall team than they were a year ago and will only get better once Isaiah Thomas returns from injury. The Cavs know the Bucks are a team on the rise and will want to make a statement against their division rivals early on. 

Whether it's a big home crowd or sold out arena on the road, Cleveland has been a great bet on Friday, going 23-8 ATS over their last 31, which includes a 13-4 ATS mark over the last 2 seasons. Take Cleveland! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Jazz vs Wolves
UNDER 198½ -103 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

4* NBA Over/UNDER Total DOMINATOR on Jazz UNDER

The Timberwolves should be one of the more improved defensive teams this season. They added in Jimmy Butler, Taj Gibson and Jeff Teague to pair with Andrew Wiggins and Karl-Anthony Towns. Head coach Tom Thibodeau is a defensive first guy and after not playing well on that side of the ball against the Spurs in the opener, I expect a strong showing at home against the Jazz. 

Utah is also the ideal teal for a team to go up against when you want to a low-scoring affair. The Jazz don't play at a frantic pace and are very strong defensively with the best rim protector in the game in Gobert. They allowed the fewest points in the league last year, giving up just 96.8 ppg and were on point in their opener, allowing just 96 to a very good Denver team that wants to get up and down the floor. 

UNDER is 21-9 in the T-Wolves last 30 games against a division opponent and 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games against the Jazz. Take the UNDER! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2017
Pistons vs Wizards
Pistons
+6½ -110 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

3* NBA Undervalued UNDERDOG on Pistons +

I'm taking the points here with Detroit in Friday's showdown at Washington. The Wizards had their hands full in their home opener against the 76ers, where they failed to cover as a 7-point favorite.

I just feel Washington is getting a little too much love to start the season. They are down starting power forward Markieff Morris and could be without his backup in Jason Smith, leaving them very thin at the 4.

Detroit really impressed in their opener, defeating a good Charlotte team by 12 at home. They held the Hornets to just 90 points and under 40% from the field. They also took great care of the ball with just 9 turnovers. I like their chances of keeping this close and could easily see them winning this outright. Take Detroit. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2017
Marshall vs Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State
+3 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Middle Tennessee State +

I like the value we are getting here with the Blue Raiders catching a field goal at home against Marshall. The betting public is all over the Thundering Herd because of the fact that Middle Tennessee is without starting quarterback Brent Stockhill. The books know this and have certainly inflated this line in the Blue Raiders favor. 

The thing is, Middle Tennessee does have a capable backup in sophomore John Urzua, who has flashed some decent potential, throwing for 359 yards against FAU. Marshal comes in with some great defensive numbers and actually rank 25th in the country in total defense, giving up just 321.7 ypg. I'm not saying they aren't good, they just aren't as good as that ranking would suggest. The Thundering Herd have 5 games against Miami (OH), Kent St, Cincinnati, Charlotte and Old Dominion. The only decent offense they have faced is NC State and they gave up 37 points and nearly 500 yards of offense. 

The other thing with Marshall's easy schedule is the concerns that they only rank 93rd in total offense. That's extremely low given the talent they have faced. Middle Tennessee's defense ranks 40th and has been tested by the likes of Vanderbilt, Syracuse and Minnesota. I think Marshall struggles to get the offense going on the road in what's going to be a hostile environment under the lights. Take Middle Tennessee! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2017
Colorado State vs New Mexico
New Mexico
+7 +105 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

4* NCAAF Friday Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on New Mexico +

I like the value here with the Lobos catching a touchdown at home against Colorado State. I believe we are getting value because of the fact that New Mexico is fresh off a 38-0 loss at Fresno State in a game they were favored to win (-2.5). As well as the fact that the Rams enter having won 3 straight and beat the Lobos by 18 in last year's meeting. Keep in mind that Colorado State was just a 6.5-point home favorite in that meeting last year. When you factor in the 3.5 points for home field and this line should be closer to 3 than 7. 

New Mexico simply laid an egg last week. I actually like the fact that they are coming off an embarrassing loss, as we can count on them coming into this game with a chip on their shoulder. They also are going to benefit from playing at home under the lights. At the same time we could see Colorado State not take them as seriously as they should. 

I also think people are quick to overlook that the Rams barely snuck out a 44-42 win at home last week against Nevada as a massive 24-point favorite. It puts Colorado State in a historically bad spot, as they are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games off a win by 6 points or less. 

New Mexico is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring less than 20 points. They also have fared well against high-scoring teams like Colorado State, as they are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games vs a team that's averaging 31+ points/game. Take New Mexico! 

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