Stephen Nover Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2018
Harvard vs Princeton
Harvard
+1½ -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Harvard is on an 8-3-1 against the spread run. The Crimson just rolled past Princeton by 15 points two weeks ago. Now look at the line. So I definitely believe there is value on the Crimson.

Princeton has lost and failed to cover in its last six games. The Tigers have a losing ATS home record. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Spurs vs Nuggets
Spurs
+4 -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
I'll take Gregg Popovich against any coach given extra prep time, which is the case here. The Spurs have had nine days to think about a 117-109 road loss to the Nuggets in their final game before the All-Star break. San Antonio had defeated Denver five straight times before that loss. The Nuggets caught the Spurs playing without rest after having been at Utah the night before. So that marked two consecutive games in high altitude. The Spurs also were minus LaMarcus Aldridge, their best player with Kawhi Leonard out, and Rudy Gay in that game. Aldridge should play for sure here.  The Spurs have traditionally fared well in Denver covering in 21 of their last 29 visits. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2018
St. Peter's vs Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac
-118 at 5Dimes
Lost
$118.0
Play Type: Premium

The Bobcats of Quinnipiac have covered in seven of their last nine games. I like them to beat St. Peter's at home. The Bobcats have strong revenge motivation for an 84-58 road loss to St. Peter's back early last month when they weren't playing as well. 

St. Peter's is a very weak road team going 2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS. The Peacocks have failed to cover in five of their last six road games. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Heat vs Pelicans
UNDER 214½ +103 Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Free
Seeing a total this high on a Miami Heat game is a new experience. Only once since Dec. 6 have the Heat had a higher total. Of course the key question is this over/under number justified being this high for a Miami game?  I say no fully realizing the Pelicans are the fourth-highest scoring team in the NBA and second-worst defensive club. They have been playing at the fastest tempo, too, of any team during the last five games before the All-Star break.  Despite this, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the oddsmaker anticipates. Both teams figure to be rusty and defensive-minded following a nine-day break.  The Heat are nearly the opposite of New Orleans ranking third in fewest points per game giving up 101.4 and 28th in scoring averaging 100.5. Miami is in stop-the-pain mode having lost seven of its last eight games, including five in a row on the road.  Miami is well-coached. The Heat aren't going to get caught up in a fast tempo game with the Pelicans. It's not a fluke that 13 of their last 18 games versus Western Conference opponents has gone Under. Hassan Whiteside may be the best rim protector in the Eastern Conference. The Pelicans aren't going to get easy baskets inside. I'm expecting the Pelicans' scoring to go down and their defense to be improved with the addition of defensive-minded center Emeka Okafor and the season-ending injury to DeMarcus Cousins. No Cousins also means less technical foul shots for the opposition.   (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in the country and is a blazing 13-5 on his last 18 premium/free plays. Stephen loves today's NBA card, which is headed by his Western Conference Game of the Month.) 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Cavs vs Grizzlies
Cavs
-5 -110 at MyBookie
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
The Cavaliers are much improved since acquiring George Hill, Rodney Hood, Jordan Clarkson and Larry Nance Jr. at the trade deadline. They are better defensively, younger and more athletic. They also have better chemistry. I was surprised when Cleveland lost last night at home to Washington. Memphis, though, isn't nearly as good as the Wizards. The Grizzlies, in fact, are tied for the fewest wins in the league with an 18-38 record.  The Grizzlies have dropped seven in a row. They are facing the cold reality of missing the postseason for the first time in eight years.  The Cavaliers are not only the better team but have stronger motivation and the edge of already having played a game following the nine-day All-Star break. 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Celtics vs Pistons
Celtics
-115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium
Detroit is 5-3 since acquiring Blake Griffin. The Pistons are tough up front now with Griffin and Andre Drummond. But their backcourt is weaker minus traded Avery Bradley and with Reggie Jackson sidelined. The Celtics can exploit this. Boston gets back defensive ace Marcus Smart from injury and astute Brad Stevens has had more than a week to game plan. I consider Stevens the top coach in the Eastern Conference.  Even if the Pistons are improved following the Griffin trade - and that can't be fully determined yet - they still are a borderline playoff team at best and they hold a losing record. Boston is two levels higher than Detroit and is in the discussion for being the best team in the East.  The Celtics limped into the All-Star break having lost three straight home games. I expect Stevens to right the ship following the long break.  The Pistons are playing in their new Little Caesars Arena, but their homecourt advantage is overrated. They have failed to cover in 11 of their last 13 home contests. Boston has covered in its last four visits to Detroit.
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Clippers vs Suns
Clippers
-4½ -105 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
The Clippers have already played a game following the long All-Star break losing 134-127 to Golden State on the road last night. The Clippers are more experienced, professional and deeper than the Suns, an opponent they have dominated winning 15 of the past 17 times. This includes a 2-0 mark this season with the average victory being by 27 1/2 points.  The Suns are in the argument for worst team in the NBA. They are tied for the fewest victories with 18 and have lost 12 of their last 13 games and 15 of 17. Of the Suns' past 13 losses, 10 have come by double-digits.  The Clippers have regained legitimate playoff contender status going 13-6 in their last 19 games. They are 5-2 since dealing Blake Griffin to the Pistons for Tobias Harris and Avery Bradley.  LA steps way down in class here after just playing the Warriors. There should be no fatigue factor for the Clippers having been idle for so long before playing last night. There will be a rust factor, though, for the Suns. There's also a maturity issue for the youthful Suns to see how they react from being off since Feb. 14. 
  
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Feb 23, 2018
Sharks vs Blackhawks
Sharks
+116 at betonline
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium
I strongly disagree with the oddsmaker opening the Blackhawks a favorite against the Sharks.  Yes, San Jose looked terrible in a 7-1 road loss last night against Nashville. The Sharks had won three straight previous to that and the Predators can make any team look bad in Nashville.  The Blackhawks have lost nine of their last 11. They managed to beat the equally horrid Senators, 3-2, in a shootout at home two nights ago. Chicago isn't turning a corner. The Blackhawks are stuck in the reality that they are going to miss the playoffs for the first time since 2008.  The Sharks should be on the attack with Tomas Hertl back in the lineup. San Jose has a strong track record when playing bad teams going 40-19 versus sub .500 opponents. Chicago is 10-26 the past 36 times it has played a foe with a winning mark.  San Jose holds a huge goalie edge, too, with starter Martin Jones returning to goal after backup Aaron Dell gave up seven goals to the Predators. The Blackhawks' goalie choices are backups Anton Forsberg, or Jean-Francois Berube. 
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 20 of 22 winning seasons.