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Stephen Nover |
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| I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| MLB | Sep 19, 2017 Twins vs. Yankees |
Twins +147 at 5DIMES |
in 9h |
| The Twins are the best money-making road underdog in baseball. That's where we find them today taking a hefty mid-range plus price. The pitching matchup is Jose Berrios versus lefty CC Sabathia. Berrios has the lower ERA and is just beginning what promises to be a very good career. Depending on how you feel about Ervin Santana, Berrios is either the No. 1 or No. 2 pitcher on Minnesota. Berrios has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 16 of his 23 starts this season. In more than one-third of his starts, Berrios has held opponents to one earned run or fewer. While Berriors is just entering his prime years, Sabathia is in the twillight of his career. Sabathia, who has chronic sore knees, was pushed back two days so he wouldn't have to pitch off the artificial turf in Toronto. So he is pitching on seven days rest here. Sabathia has a lifetime ERA of 4.17 when pitching with six or more days rest. He's done that seven times this year with an ERA of 4.72 in those outings. The Twins are six games above .500 on the road and also have a winning mark versus lefties. | ||
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NFL | Sep 18, 2017 Lions vs Giants |
OVER 42 -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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The Giants offense looked terrible in their opening week 19-3 loss to the Cowboys. But this total is too low even if Odell Beckham Jr. misses a second straight game. It's an overreaction to how bad the Giants offense played against Dallas. Before the rules heavily favoring offense, particularly passing, were instituted this total would be the equivalent of an over/under in the 30's. It's too low. Both the Lions and Giants are passing teams. The Lions defense is well below average. Detroit's defense set a modern-day record for highest completion percentage allowed last year along with finishing last in in opponent's average drive time. Eli Manning is at his best in a short passing offense, which is made to take advantage of Detroit's type of defense. The Giants' defense is strong, but may be without top cornerback Janoris Jenkins and leading tackler linebacker B.J. Goodson. The LIons should put up their share of points regardless if those two Giants play. Matthew Stafford has full command of Jim Bob Cooter's offense. The Lions went with a no-huddle on nearly half their plays last Sunday, the highest percentage of any team in Week 1. So the pace figures to be fast, which is a huge plus for the Over. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 20 of 22 winning seasons. |