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Stephen Nover |
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| I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 23, 2017 A's vs Mets |
A's +127 at 5Dimes |
Won $127 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
| Oakland has banged out 10 or more hits in its last three games. The A's are 4-4 in their last eight games with their four defeats during this span coming by a combined five runs. I'll back the A's at a plus price against Rafael Montero and a tired Mets bullpen. Montero is 2-11 in his big league career, including 1-6 this season. He has a 5.40 ERA. Foes are batting .320 against Montero when he's been a starter. The A's are going with Daniel Gossett, who pitched well in his last start giving up three runs in seven innings against the Rays this past Monday. Only once in his seven starts has Gossett walked more than one batter and that was when he walked two hitters. This is far more of a play against Montero, though, than an endorsement of Gossett and an A's bullpen that has gotten much worse since dealing Ryan Madson and Sean Dolittle. I just think the A's are due and in a matchup of two below average starters there's value in taking a plus price. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover has his High Roller correlated baseball parlay going today in addition to this free selection. This is Stephen's strongest parlay so don't miss this 2-for-1 special!) | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 23, 2017 Blue Jays vs Indians |
UNDER 8½ -125 |
Lost $125.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
| Corey Kluber is an absolute monster, one of the five best pitchers in baseball. Kluber is in great form, too, with a 1.56 ERA in his last nine starts since returning from the DL. Opposing hitters are batting .160 against him during this span. Kluber also has a mind-boggling 94 strikeouts in 63 1/3 innings in this time frame, walking only 11. Kluber is being opposed by southpaw J.A. Happ, who has a 2.43 ERA during his last seven starts. He hasn't given up more than three earned runs during these outings. Happ has a lifetime 2.86 ERA against the Indians in six appearances, including five starts. The under is 18-7-3 (72 percent) in Happ's past 28 road starts. The under has cashed 13 of the past 19 times the Indians have faced a lefty starter at home. This can be partially explained by the Indians being weaker against lefties than righties. These teams have a history of playing below the total when meeting with nine of the last 11 in the series going under. Because it's Sunday there's also a possibility of regular players getting a day off. The weather forecast is for a slight wind to be blowing in. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jul 23, 2017 Blue Jays vs Indians |
Blue Jays +1½ -125 at GTBets |
Lost $125.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| This is not a fade on Corey Kluber, who is in great form and one of the five best pitchers in baseball. But Kluber is pitching on extra rest after experiencing a stiff neck during his last start on July 15. Kluber also has more trouble against the Blue Jays than any other team with a 1-3 lifetime record and 5.34 ERA in five career starts. Cleveland actually has lost in four of Kluber's last five starts. The Indians have a losing record at home and haven't swept an opponent at Progressive Field all season. Toronto starter southpaw J.A. Happ is pitching on four days rest. The Blue Jays are 16-5 the past 21 times when Happ has pitched on four days rest. Happ is pitching well with a 2.43 ERA during his last seven starts. Happ is 3-1 career-wise versus Cleveland with a 2.86 ERA in six appearances, including five starts. The Blue Jays are going through a disappointing season, but they would be 5-2 in their last seven games if given 1 1/2 runs. Cleveland would be 2-7 in its last nine games if laying 1 1/2 runs. | ||
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 20 of 22 winning seasons. |