Brandon Lee Brandon Lee
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Rams vs Seahawks
Rams
+2½ -109 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

10* FREE NFL PICK (Rams +2.5)

I would have to lean towards taking Los Angeles and the points in this one. As much respect as I have for Seattle and how well they play at home, especially this time of year, I think they are battling too many injuries right now. Prior to last week’s game at Jacksonville, they were already down three big time defensive players in Richard Sherman (CB), Kam Chancellor (S) and Cliff Avril (DE).

Against the Jags, Bobby Wagner (LB) had to leave with a hamstring injury and K.J. Wright (LB) was forced out with a concussion. I have a hard time seeing Wagner play and if he does he won’t be 100%. As for Wright, he's listed as doubtful. 

As loud and as crazy as the home crowd will be, I don’t think it will be enough to help this defense slow down this high-powered Rams offensive attack. Keep in mind Seattle had their fair share of troubles against this Rams offense in the first meeting and at that point only Avril had been lost on defense.

The other big key here for me is I don’t like how the Seahawks offensive line matches up with this Rams talented defensive front. Seattle’s inability to keep LA’s defensive linemen out of their backfield is why they have struggled so much against this team. In the last 4 meetings against the Rams, the Seahawks are averaging just 15 ppg. Keep in mind Seattle went up against a similarly strong defensive front last week and Wilson had three interceptions and was sacked twice. Wilson only threw for 198 yards in the first meeting with LA.

Seahawks home field edge also hasn’t all that great against good teams, as they are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Rams +2.5!

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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Cowboys vs Raiders
Raiders
+3 +100 at Bovada
Tie
Play Type: Premium

40* COWBOYS/RAIDERS SNF ATS SLAUGHTER (Raiders +3)

There’s no sugar-coating the Raiders lackluster performance last week in Kansas City. Not only did they not play well, they didn’t seem to have the fire you would expect given it was against one of their hated rivals and with the division on the line. Simply put, it was embarrassing showing by this team. Any time a team plays that poorly, we often see them come back with one of their best efforts and I expect just that against the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.

As for Dallas, I think people are getting a little too excited with their recent performances. Two weeks ago they beat the Redskins 38-14, but Washington was decimated with injuries. They also scored 2 late touchdowns to make it look a lot worse than it was. Keep in mind that banged up Redskins team followed that up by losing 13-30 at the Chargers. They then escaped with a win over a decimated Giants team, who also had all the off field distractions with their coach getting fired in the week leading up to the game. Again, Dallas made that look like a bigger blowout than it was, as they were tied 10-10 with less than 8 minutes to play and won by 20.

I believe taking advantage of two teams who were missing several key players has a lot of people forgetting what this team looked like in the first 3 games without Ezekiel Elliott. For those that forgot, they lost 7-27 at Atlanta, 9-37 at home to the Eagles and 6-28 at home to the Chargers.

I think we are going to see Derek Carr and that Raiders offense put up some points, while the Oakland defense feeds off the energy of the home crowd with one of their better showings. Give me the Raiders +3!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Titans vs 49ers
49ers
-1 -114 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

40* NFL NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (49ers -1)

I was on the 49ers in their win last week against the Texans and will back them again here. Usually when a team is sitting at 3-10 this late in the season, you have big time concerns with them even being motivated to play. That’s not the case with San Francisco, as this team is playing with a whole new sense of confidence under quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo.

I think 49ers fullback Kyle Juszcyk says it best, “It gets everyone excited. I mean, it feels like a whole new season here. It feels like we started last week. Especially, getting a win, we wish we had more games left. We wish we had a full season to do this thing with him.”

Not only has it brought life to the team, but the fan base couldn’t be more excited about the future. I expect a lot of the 49ers faithful to show up for this game and give San Francisco a big home field edge here.

At the same time, I’m not the high on this Tennessee team. The Titans haven’t been playing anywhere close to as well as their 6-2 record over their last 8 games would suggest. In fact, they were lucky to win a number of those contests, as 4 of the 6 wins came by 4-points or less with the two blowout wins coming at home against the Colts and Texans.

Offensively the Titans seem to be lost and a big reason for that is the poor play of quarterback Marcus Mariota. In his last 4 games he’s thrown just three touchdowns with 8 interceptions. In his last 3 games he’s thrown for a mere 184 yards against the Colts, 150 yards against the Texans and 159 yards against the Cardinals.

San Francisco’s overall defensive numbers aren’t great, but in their last 3 games they are allowing just 18 ppg and a mere 258.7 ypg. The defense has been especially good against the run, giving up just 80.7 ypg and 3.4 yards/carry. It’s not like the Titans are running the ball all that effectively either, as they have had rushed for fewer than 95 yards in 3 of their last 4 games.

It’s also worth noting that Tennessee is a team that has not played well on the road this time of year. They are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games. They are also a mere 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 road games against a team with a losing home record. San Francisco on the other hand is an impressive 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games off an upset win as a road dog. Give me the 49ers -1!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Patriots vs Steelers
Patriots
-3 -105 at betonline
Tie
Play Type: Top Premium

50* NFL VEGAS SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE YEAR (Patriots -3) 

I’m going to take the New England Patriots -3 on the road over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  

If history tells us anything, I think it’s that you don’t bet against the Patriots off a loss, especially an ugly showing like they had against the Dolphins in Week 14. 

New England is 41-19-2 ATS since the start of the 2001 season following a loss and a ridiculous 22-4 SU and 23-3 ATS when in this spot and listed as an underdog or favorite of 3-points or less. 

They are also 24-7 ATS in their last 31 off a game where they had less than 250 total yards and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 after a game where they allowed more than 350 yards. 

I know it’s not something you see often from a New England team, but I don’t think this team showed up with the right mindset against the Dolphins. Part of it was the lack of respect for Miami and that team and the other was they had this massive game on deck against Pittsburgh. Let’s also not overlook that’s not the first time they have struggled on the road against the Dolphins.

One thing New England hasn’t done is struggle to find ways to beat these Steelers. The Patriots have won 4 straight in the series, which includes three wins over the last two seasons. They won 28-21 in Week 1 of the 2015 campaign. Last year they not only beat them 27-16 in Pittsburgh in Week 7, but destroyed them 36-17 later on in the AFC Championship Game. As you can see from the results, Bill Belichick and his staff have done a masterful job of keeping this high-powered Steelers offense in check, while the offense has had their way with the Pittsburgh defense.

Another thing that I think is getting overlooked here is just how fortunate the Steelers are to be riding an 8-game winning streak and sitting at 11-2. Let’s just look at their last 6 games. They have trailed by double-digits going into the 4th quarter of each of their last two games against the Ravens and Bengals. Needed overtime to beat the Packers without Aaron Rodgers at home 31-28. They trailed the Colts 3-17 in the 2nd half of a 20-17 win and were bailed out by bad coaching in a 10-15 win agains the Lions, as Detroit went for it on 4th down instead of kicking field goals twice in the 2nd half. I just don’t think that’s the sign of a 11-2 team and it’s only a matter of time before their luck runs out. 

I know the Patriots are banged up right now, but they will be getting back Gronkowski from suspension. Not having him is a big reason why Brady and the offense struggled against the Dolphins. This is also not the same Steelers defense as it was a few weeks ago. Pittsburgh lost in my opinion their most important defensive player in Ryan Shazier in that physical game with Cincinnati. Without him last week they gave up 38 points and over 400 yards to a bad Ravens offense. New England is going to take full advantage of his absence in this one.

It’s also worth pointing out that the Patriots are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Lastly, favorites who have won 3 of their last 4 against and are playing a team that has won 8 or more games in their last 10 are a dominant 32-8 (80%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Give me the Pats -3!

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!