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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Mar 22, 2018
Hawks vs Kings
-2 -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

Atlanta enters this game off a  99-94 win vs Utah Jazz on Tuesday. Their were a few factors at work in that win, but the Hawks overall ugly record speaks for itself, and those types of performances are not consistent . With that said, I now expect a emotional letdown situation to effect the Hawks in this spot vs the Sacramento Kings. I know both teams are in tank mode, but Atlanta smashed Sacramento 126-80 at home on Nov. 15, and I'm betting the Kings will have a little bit of extra energy in the tank tonight in payback mode. 

ATLANTA is 9-23 ATS   in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last few  seasons. Sacramento has won and covered the L/2 meetings here in California's capital.  

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (ATLANTA) - in non-conference games, off a huge upset win as an underdog of 10 points or more are 5-27 SU L/5 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Hawks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record .Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast. Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

 NBA Favorites (SACRAMENTO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win are 144-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

 Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 22, 2018
Capitals vs Red Wings
-159 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

 Detroit is struggling mightily and have not won in regulation in almost a month, and I'm betting things don't change tonight vs the visiting Washington Capitals team pursing the Metropolitan division title, and that will not be overlooking them . QUOTE:  “At this time of year, it doesn’t really matter where teams are in the standings,” Trotz said. "I think you don’t look at any opponent right now any differently if you can.”  END QUOTE.

Capitals are 67-23 in their last 90 vs. Atlantic.Capitals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.Red Wings are 4-10 in their last 14 home games.

NHL Home underdogs of +100 to +150 against the money line (DETROIT) - struggling team - outscored by their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season, after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game are 4-28 L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 88% for bettors.

Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyl-ine

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 22, 2018
Loyola-Chicago vs Nevada
+1½ -101 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

NCAA - South Regional Semifinals - Philips Arena - Atlanta, GA

Everyone and his dog is piling onto the Loyola Chicago miracle bandwagon, a side that won both their first wo games on last second buzzer beaters. Don't get me wrong this a fine looking team, and deserve respect,  but  I expect their luck to run out here,  vs very experienced and talented Nevada team, that knows exactly what's coming their way and they will be ready to compete and well prepared, as was evident in two tenacious   come back wins in this tournament vs Cincinnati and Texas . With my own power ranking suggesting that Nevada should be -4 or better favs here , I'll recommend we take the Wolfpack 

NEVADA is 29-14 ATS L/43 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.NEVADA is 15-6 ATS  in all tournament games over the last few seasons. Nevada HC Musselman is 15-3 ATS L/18 after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers.

CBB Neutral Court favorites vs. the money line (NEVADA) - after a close win by 3 points or less against opponent after 4 straight games where both teams score 70 points or less 49-9 SU L/21 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors .

Play on Nevada to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 22, 2018
Florida State vs Gonzaga
-5½ -109 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA

Florida State was down 12 points mid way through the 2nd half of their 2nd round game vs a very good Xavier side last time out and came back to  win 75-70.  I tip my proverbial hat to the Seminoles, for that big time effort,  but now I'm betting their celebrating comes to an abrupt end vs Gonzaga  side that has won 34 of 35 games vs sub .890  foes this season. It must also be noted that Seminoles HC Hamilton is 0-4 ATS in the NCAA tourney off two straight wins and 0-3 SU/ATS off a underdog victory.

GONZAGA is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last few seasons. FLORIDA ST is 3-11 ATS  L/14  in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last few seasons.

Play on Gonzaga to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 22, 2018
Texas A&M vs Michigan
Texas A&M
+3 -109 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

NCAA - West Regional Semifinals - Staples Center - Los Angeles, CA

Texas A&M goes against a John Beilein lead Michigan squad lucky to be here after trailing Houston last time out, by a FG with less than 4 seconds left on the clock and the Cougars at the FT line.The Wolverines than miraculously found away to win by 1 point.  Now off their lucky zone, and on negative karmic course vs a underdog that is 4-0 SU/ATS vs .800 or better opposition this season , Michigan is in trouble. Michigan has only covered 3 of their L/15 vs SEC sides away from home and HC Beilein is also just 0-6-1 ATS in his career vs SEC opponents.

Play on Texas A&M to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 23, 2018
Clemson vs Kansas
-4½ -109 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

NCAA - Midwest Regional Semifinals - CenturyLink Center - Omaha, NE

Kansas rolls into this Sweet 16 affair vs Clemson winning 10 of their L/11 overall while /Clemson is just 5-5 in their L/10 despite of winning their first two games of this tournament. It must be noted that CLEMSON is 0-6 ATS after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half over the last few seasons.  From a coaching perspective Bill Self of Kansas has a huge experience edge, winning 9 of 12 Sweet 16 games, covering 8 times. In recent games vs the ACC Self is a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS and overall is 7-0 SU L/7 and 6-0-1 ATS vs .666 or better opposition like Clemson this season.

SWEET 16 No.5 seeds are 1-6 ATS L/7 overall as dogs of 9 points or less. No.5 seeds like Clemson are 0-4 ATs L/3 seasons.

KANSAS is 7-1 ATS    in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season.

Play on Kansas to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 23, 2018
West Virginia vs Villanova
-5 -106 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

NCAA - East Regional Semifinals - TD Garden - Boston, MA

Villanova really gets up for top quality competition, as was evident by posting a 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS mark vs .680- or better opposition this season. It must also be noted that West Virginia's HC Huggins is 0-21-1 ATS in this tournament if he loses straight up. While you can never rule out a SU upset , especially this season, the odds are very high the Wildcats win here SU, thus making Huggy Bear and  his cubs fade material in this spot.

VILLANOVA is 12-3 ATS  L/15 versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season

Sweet 16 No.1 seeds off back to back wins in the NCAA tourney are a bankroll expanding 21-8 ATS. Also No.1 seeds in this round are 18-0 SU /15-2-1 ATS if they face a two game win streak.   SWEET 16 No.5 seeds like West Virginia are 1-6 ATS as 9 point or less dogs.

Neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (VILLANOVA) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG), after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more are 69-31 ATS L/21 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Villanova to cover


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.