Alex Smart Alex Smart
Testing current 39-23 NFL 63% run and a 38-24 61% CFB conversion rate! Alex Smart Sports. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- NFL Sunday Afternoon THREE Pack. ( Sides)

I have isolated THREE viable sides from Sunday afternoons NFL rotational schedule. Join me today and until the Super Bowl Champs are crowned and watch your ROI go through the roof! Tests  39-24 62% overall run  and 26-11 70 % NFL Side Run! kick off after 1 pm et 

*This package includes 3 NFL Spread picks

Alex Smart Sports- NFL Sunday Afternoon THREE pack ( Totals)

I have isolated THREE viable TOTALS from Sunday afternoons NFL rotational schedule. Join me today and until the Super Bowl Champs are crowned and watch your ROI go through the roof! Tests  39-24 62% overall run ! kick off after 1 pm et

*This package includes 3 NFL Total picks

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
1 day All Sports subscription of Alex Smart

With this subscription you get EVERY SINGLE PLAY released for the day of your purchase.  

No picks available.

3 days All Sports subscription ( Alex Smart Sports)

With this subscription you'll get every single play released for 3 consecutive days! This is our most popular subscription during football season because when purchased Saturday morning it gets you all of Saturday and Sunday's picks PLUS any plays on Monday Night Football!  

*This subscription includes 7 NFL picks

7 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

Looking for some great value? Pick up a weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS full days of picks! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site.  

*This subscription includes 7 NFL picks

30 days All Sports subscription(Alex Smart)

SAVE A TON of money with a 30 Day subscription! You'll literally pay a fraction of the cost by signing up for a full month instead of making a single purchase each day!  

*This subscription includes 7 NFL picks

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
College Football Subscription 2018
**3x Top 10 CFB handicapper!**

Now on a 37-25 run with my last 63 CFB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $21,130 on my CFB picks since 09/02/17 and $54,620 on my CFB picks since 09/13/14!

This subscription includes EVERY CFB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
College Basketball Season Subscription!
**2x Top 10 CBB handicapper!**

Now on a 76-58 run with my last 140 CBB picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $21,840 on my CBB picks since 11/13/16 and $32,370 on my CBB picks since 03/06/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CBB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NCAA Tournament! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

NHL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Full Season NHL Subscription
**2x Top 10 NHL handicapper!**

#7 ranked NHL handicapper this season!

Now on a 16-8 run with my last 25 NHL picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $18,520 on my NHL picks since 10/04/17!

This subscription includes EVERY NHL PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the Stanley Cup! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA Season Subscription
**2014 NBA Champion!**
**3x Top 10 NBA handicapper!**

#2 ranked NBA handicapper this season!

Now on a 202-141 run with my last 352 NBA picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $74,410 on my NBA picks since 12/13/16 and $73,560 on my NBA picks since 12/13/16!

This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NBA + CBB Season Pass!
**4x Top 10 Basketball handicapper!**

#8 ranked Basketball handicapper this season!

Now on a 448-369 run with my last 837 Basketball picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $91,210 on my Basketball picks since 10/27/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CBB & NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

No picks available.

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
NFL & CFB Season Pass
Now on a 39-23 run with my last 64 Football picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $18,060 on my Football picks since 09/02/17 and $33,980 on my Football picks since 10/22/16!

This subscription includes EVERY CFB & NFL PREMIUM PICK I release through the Super Bowl! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 7 NFL picks

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
FULL Season NFL Subscription
Currently on a 15-8 NFL run since 09/30/18.

This subscription includes EVERY NFL PREMIUM PICK I release through the Super Bowl! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

*This subscription includes 7 NFL picks

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 19, 2018
Dodgers vs Brewers
Brewers
+101 at 5Dimes
Won
$101
Play Type: Premium

NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - LAD Leads 3-2

Im expecting the Brewers starter Miley won't be pulled after one batter this time around, and now extremely rested and energized I expect his top tier work to continue tonight at home in game 6 of this series. The southpaw in postseason  action this season has pitched shutout baseball into the sixth against Ryu and the Dodgers in Game 2 last weekend in 10.1 innings of work this October,  has limited the Rockies and Dodgers to just five hits  overall.  Im betting he at home tonight he gives his team an edge.Dodgers starters have had their struggles in the series, combining for a 4.10 ERA through the first five games and I expect the Brewers to get up in the early innings than hold off the Dodgers for a Game 7.MILWAUKEE is 8-1  against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent this season. 

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2018
Kings vs Pelicans
UNDER 231 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Looking at last years matchups in this series , The Kings beat the Pelicans, 116-109 in overtime and 114-101, in New Orleans while the Pelicans prevailed in both games in Sacramento, 114-106 and 114-101. Im expecting a similar type combed score here tonight. I know both teams put up a boatload full of points in wide open tilts last time out, but a more muted effort after exerting that much energy  and converting at such a high level is a above average probability occurrence in this spot. 

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (NEW ORLEANS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, team that had a winning record last season are 27-6  UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors with the average combined score clicking at 204 ppg. Also From an extensive data base of more than 2000 games played in the invoicing the Pelicans and other NBA teams the average of tonights  score in similar multiple trends situations is in range between 217 and 224 ppg. So despite of their being no obvious guarantees their still is evidence of this number being slightly bloated thus giving us value.

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2018
Thunder vs Clippers
Clippers
-1 -100 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Whether Russel Westbrook plays or not tonight, for the Thunder, I still like the home team the LA Clippers to come out on top. Westbrook after under going what has been described a minor knee procedure  is probably less than 100% despite of being rushed on the court for his first game. I know the media is buzzing about what a great D, the Thunder will have this season, but the Clippers are also deep with defensive talent despite of this being a transition season for them. Both teams lost their openers but the Thunder worked harder than the Clippers in their loss to the Warriors in game 1  and could feel a bit of an emotional letdown, vs a energized Clippers side that has a chance to redeem itself in this their 2nd home game of the season. Clippers HC Rivers is 11-2 ATS  in home games when playing against a team (Win Pct. 25% or less)

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-27 ATS  after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the LA Clippers to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2018
Hornets vs Magic
Hornets
-2 -104 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Magic opened up with a 104-101 victory over the Miami Heat, getting the W despite not making a field goal for the final 4 1/2 minutes and after trailing by 14 in the first quarter , telling us  yes small miracles sometimes happen. Im betting in their followup tilt they will not be so fortunate vs a decent looking Hornets squad that despite of a loss in their first game , almost came back from 20 point deficit thanks to some fast paced small ball. According to my team vs team power rankings and matchups the Magic do matchup well vs this type of opposition. Charlotte has won 14 of the last 18 meetings and 4 straight and 10 of its last 12 trips to Orlando and get the nod again in this spot to cover the number. 

 ORLANDO is 9-22 ATS after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

A long term NBA trend shows Home underdogs (ORLANDO) - off a close home win by 3 points or less are a bad bet as these teams are just 123-191 ATS L/21 seasons for go against 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Charlotte to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2018
Knicks vs Nets
Knicks
+3½ -100 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Two rebuilding teams continue their  rivalry  tonight as the  New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets do battle in the big apple. Both look evenly matched and I consider this type of game a neutral court event, thus getting points with the Knicks looks like a viable wagering opportunity despite of them playing without key player Kristaps Porzingis. With Tim Hardaway Jr., getting more touches because of Porzingis absence Im betting the Knicks will be a handful for the Nets and have an edge. Add to that the Nets are pretty banged up with  and maybe without Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (left adductor), DeMarre Carroll (right ankle surgery), Allen Crabbe (left ankle sprain) and Shabazz Napier (strained right hamstring) who all missed the first game.The Knicks swept the season series by an average of 14.8 points, getting all four wins before Porzingis was lost, but believe they still offer up a lot of bad matchups even with him gone. 

NBA Favorites (BROOKLYN) - bad team from last season who won only 25% to 40% of their games are 10-32 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the New York Knicks to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 19, 2018
Pacers vs Bucks
Pacers
+3½ -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Milwaukee Bucks by new HC  Mike Budenholzer  barley got by the Charlotte Hornets by one point in their first game of the season. But their was some troubling stat lines that tell me not all is well in Milwaukee despite of a talented roster. In that above mentioned win the Bucks  committed 21 turnovers and  blew a  20-point lead . Add to that they allowed the Hornets to shoot 42.1 percent from beyond the arc (44.6 percent overall). That is not a recipe for success against a very under rated Indiana Pacers side that is deep and can light the word up in a hurry, while also playing top tier defence.Indiana opened its season with a easily handling Memphis 111-83 on Wednesday night and look like viable underdogs in this spot. Indiana has won the L/3 meetings in this series, and gets the nod again in this spot play. 

Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA CentralBucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Play on the Milwaukee Bucks to coverBucks are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 home games.Bucks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Play on the Indiana Pacers to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 19, 2018
Colorado State vs Boise State
Colorado State
+23½ -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Boise is not as powerful as I expected them to be this season, and have been slightly disappointing to some degree, especially at home last time out losing to a banged up San Diego State squad 19-13. Laying this much lumber at home does not suit their current form and from a recent trends set does not favour them to cover in this spot, as the blue carpet hosts are just 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 lined home games and an equally dismal 4-18 ATS  in conference games as 21 or more point chalk. Meanwhile, Colorado State is picking up the pace of late after a slow start and have won and covered two straight as well winning the stats battle. The Rams have covered 6 of their L/7 on the road as 14 or more points and will be ready to avenge a 59-52 shootout loss at home last year the Blue Broncos.

COLORADO ST is 24-9 ATS L/33 vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game.

Play on the Colorado State Rams to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Oct 19, 2018
Edmonton vs BC
BC
-1½ -110 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Edmonton after three straight losses came out in their last game and laid a beatdown on visiting Ottawa by a 34-16 count, but Im betting things won't come so easily this week at BC. The Lions have won 5 of their L/6 games and are 6-1 at home this season and have played consistent ball all season long while the Eskimos have not. 

EDMONTON is 13-34 ATS L/47 in road games after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game.Maas is 3-12 ATS after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of EDMONTON.

CFL team (EDMONTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in October games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Bruins vs Canucks
Bruins
-154 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

The Bruins despite of two straight losses are a strong veteran team that deserves a lot of respect,.Meanwhile, the  Canucks despite of playing strong hockey early this season are systems team, that also deserves respect for their hard work but are just out talented here by a two way team that is desperate for a win . With that said, take this  boatload full of top tier veteran group to backup their redemption process.

Play on the Boston  Bruins to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Predators vs Oilers
Predators
-125 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

The powerful Predators played last night, and took a 5-3 win vs Calgary, so scheduling does not give them an edge on that front, but its early in the season, and they will be fresher than many might think as their talent and conditioning is superior to the Oilers. Yes , the Oilers do have the league best player in McDavid, but in the past that has not been a guarantee for anything. With that said, look for the Preds to find a way to get a win, and make it 11 straight wins in this series vs the Oilers. 

Play on the Nashville Preds to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Canadiens vs Senators
Canadiens
-120 at 5Dimes
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Premium

Montreal is on a 3 game winning streak, and looking pretty good in their current form behind a now healthy Carey Price who owns a 2-1-1 record with a 2.24 goals against average and .912 save percentage, giving the Canadiens (4-1-1) record on the season.  Meanwhile, Ottawa despite of some upsets and a current 2 game win streak and playing well early this season, are turning the puck over a little bit to much  for my liking and are showing some negative characteristics . I also feel they don't have the talent to continue at this rate, and when looking at individual matchups the Habs actually have better over all talent and with their goalie  Price in good form  I like them in this spot. 

OTTAWA is 2-10 ATS  in home games after a blowout win by 3 goals or more over the last 3 seasons. They beat Dallas 4-1 last time out. 

Play on Montreal to win on the moneyline 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 20, 2018
Dodgers vs Brewers
Brewers
+109 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

NL Championship Series - Best of 7 - Game 7 - Tied 3-3

Brewers start Jhoulys Chacin tonight in the a sudden death Game 7 battle . The righty has  allowed only one run over 10 1/3 innings of his first two career postseason starts, and and his and his strong bullpen get my supporter. CHACIN is 10-4  against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season. (Team's Record) MILWAUKEE is 31-11 against the money line after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more this season.

Meanwhile, Buehler  the Dodgers starter  is 4-8 against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record).BUEHLER is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 0.786.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline 

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Montreal vs Toronto
Montreal
+4½ -112 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

These two teams look pretty evenly matched in their current losing forms, as both display ugly 3-12 SU records. Montreal does however matchup well vs the Argos and won their L/ meeting. Despite of  Toronto having revenge on board, the Als from a statistical standpoint deserves my backing a FG or more. 

TORONTO is 1-8 ATS  versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 26-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.TORONTO is 2-10 ATS  versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. 

CFL team vs SU (TORONTO) - with a struggling defense - allowing 7.5 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game 3-27 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. 

Play on the Montreal Als to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Devils vs Flyers
OVER 6 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Philadelphia can score but their defence is horrendous, and Im betting that trend continues here this afternoon against the NJ Devils. Philadelphia (3-4) has allowed 11 goals in its last two games and the Devils are more than capable of burying some goals here today.  It must be noted that NEW JERSEY is 32-0 OVER  when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons and thats what Im projecting them do here this afternoon.PHILADELPHIA is 35-0 OVER when both teams score 3 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.Philadelphia has given up 31 goals in its first seven games.

PHILADELPHIA is 23-9 OVER vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 6.9 gpg.

Play on the OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2018
Raptors vs Wizards
Wizards
+1 -107 at pinnacle
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

The Raptors come into this game in a letdown situation as they visit the Washington Wizards Saturday night after a  113-101 win over the preseason Eastern Conference favorite Boston Celtics. They will now be at a disadvantage vs a Washington side off a loss in their home opener to Miami 113-112 and that   will now be out looking for redemption against what could be an Eastern Conference front runner. Actually Torontos top tier projections centre on whether the often injured Kawhi Leonard remains healthy enough to stay in the lineup . He has missed an average of 30% of his games during his career and already missed to play off runs.

Tonight Im betting for Wizards star Bradely Beal to lead the way for the Wizards . He has thrived vs the Raptorsin the recent past and had 38 points in their first meeting of the season last year and two more 30-plus nights in the playoffs.Saturday's game is a rematch of last season's Eastern Conference first-round playoff series in which the Raptors eliminated the Wizards in six games.REVENGE on board for the  home team.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more are 21-4 L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Washington to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2018
Pistons vs Bulls
Pistons
-3½ -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The line has moved off the opener of -2.5 and and rightly so and Im betting we have value here backing the new small ball Detroit Pistons right up to -4.  The Pistons won their first game of the season against the Brooklyn Nets 103-100 behind Blake Griffin and Andre Drummond despite of being a little short handed with two starters out. The Pistons found a way to hold the fort and  win was a positive sign in the midst of plenty of teachable moments, Casey told reporters Thursday. Pistons now coached by Dwane Casey are a fast team,  that works the inside well and hold key matchup problems for teams like the Chicago Bulls that are off a 127-108 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday. Note NBA Road favorites  (DETROIT) - off a close home win by 3 points or less are 48-9 SU L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average margin point differential coming by 8.5 ppg. 

Play on the Detroit Pistons to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2018
Wolves vs Mavs
Mavs
+3 -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Tonight Dallas has their home opener against a very good Minnesota team, but Im betting they will be up to the task off being very competitive and getting us the cover even though their without Harrison Barnes. I'm also not reading to much into their loss vs the Suns in their opener as Phoenix is a much better team than people realize at this point in the season. I also expect newly acquired Euro star Doncic to be primed to play a big game in front of Mark Cuban and the Mavs fans tonight . This top tier player is acclimating much faster to the NBAs physical game than I anticipated and  is really impressive and can easily control a games tempo. Look for his teammates and fans to feed off his energy tonight and make this an electric environment. 

 DALLAS is 14-4 ATS in home games against Northwest division opponents.DALLAS is 29-15 ATS  after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.Carlisle is 30-12 ATS  off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more as the coach of DALLAS. 

NBA Home teams (DALLAS) - off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite against opponent off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 27-4 SU L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Play on Dallas to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Wake Forest vs Florida State
UNDER 59 -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Wake Forest after an embarrassing loss to Clemson before their bye week, allowed 63 points and scored just 3 points in a ugly loss. Since that game a rallying call to tighten up their D, has been key to any conversations involving the Deacons, and today I expect they enter this tilt with an conservative mindset. Meanwhile,Florida State is always methodical in their approach to games, and will make sure this game is played on their terms. Look for both teams to push the ball a lot on the ground today via their rush games, and for the clock to get milked like a Hershey cow.Only one of Seminoles games has eclipsed this total this season, and Im betting the combined score will not breach this Total. Note: Wake Forest has not had a scoring TD since 2006 here in the land of the Seminoles.

FSU Taggart is 18-7 UNDER vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game in all games he has coached since 1992 with a combined average score in those tilts ringing in at 52.5 ppg.

FLORIDA ST L/11 against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons have seen a combined average of 44 ppg go on the board. WAKE FOREST L/22  in road games after a bye week have seen a combined average of 54.4 ppg go on the board.

CFB Road teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (WAKE FOREST) - with a poor defense - allowing 400 or more total yards/game, after allowing 525 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games are 64-28 UNDER  L/10 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Northwestern vs Rutgers
OVER 48½ -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

 Northwestern in their last  three games away from home having to lay  nine points  or more to Big Ten opposition all-time,   have scored 59, 45, and 42 points respectively and I'm expecting another  high output today vs a Rutgers defense that has allowed two opponents to breach the 50 point plateau this season. Meanwhile, Im betting that Rutgers on their own home field are good for a couple of scores in a game I have pegged to go OVER the total.

NORTHWESTERN is 7-0 OVER in road games over the last 2 seasons with a combined 54.7 ppg scored. 

CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (NORTHWESTERN) - terrible rushing team - averaging 2.75 or less rushing yards/carry, after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game are 28-5 OVER L/10 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Arizona vs UCLA
Arizona
+8 -109 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

UCLA finally got a win last week, after starting their season at 0-5. They beat what looked to be a sleepy California Bears team who was overlooking them by a a 37-7 count. Now they are magically being made more than TD favorite at home , in part because the hobbling and limping Khalil Tate is out with an ankle injury .  Which in my opinion contrary to mainstream thought is actually a good thing. Better to have a 100% healthy 2nd string QB ( Rodriguez) than a banged up pivot who depends on his mobility to to look as good as he does.Rodriguez, the son of former Arizona head coach Rich Rodriguez, completed 20 of 38 passes for 226 yards coming off the bench vs Utah last week and a completed touchdown and should be even more fluent this week.

It must be noted that UCLA is just 1-8 ATS  as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons so they are from viable chalk bets . UCLA is also just   2-10 ATS  in games when coming off a victory over the last three years and are also a ugly  0-12 ATS when coming off a double-digit win the last four seasons. UCLA is 3-13 ATS  when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992. These are some nasty numbers, and Im still not sold on Chip Kelleys Bruins quite yet, and feel its to soon to be laying TD or more chalk in a conference game vs a team that matches up well against them according to my power rankings. 

Play on Arizona to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky
-4½ -110 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

 Old Dominion has done one thing right this season, and that is beat Virginia Tech. Other than that this team is completely inept and look like they are still dealing with the massive emotional hangover of that bizarre win. They put everything they had into that game, and now theirs nothing left in the tank. The Monarchs have lost two straight by DDs and took it on the chin last week,   42-20 vs Marshall, and gave up a pile of yards which does not set up well for them coming into this game as they are  0-10 ATS after allowing 475 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1999. 

OLD DOMINION is 2-10 ATS  in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better.

Play on Western Kentucky to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Virginia vs Duke
Duke
-7 -105 at BetPhoenix
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Virginia knocked off Miami U in a big upset last week, and after that the Cavs and their fans rushed the field like they had won a national championship. Thats what I call irrational exuberance at its best, and now the hungover Cavs will have problems facing a team that I have rated above them my power rankings . You have to remember this is the same Virginia team that crapped the bed earlier this season vs  struggling Indiana  football program and lost 20-16, so its not like their national championship contenders or anything. Meanwhile,Duke rebounded from its first loss of the season against Virginia Tech by surgically  dismantling the Yellow Jackets  option offense in a impressive looking 28-14 conference road victory. Im becoming a believer in the Duke football program that has beaten Army, Northwestern, Baylor this season and Im saying they have to be respected today on a TD or less line at home.

VIRGINIA has failed to cover 18 of their L/24 after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games.

CFBA road team (VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 5-27 ATS. for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors.

CFB Road underdogs vs. the money line (VIRGINIA) - off an upset win as a home underdog of 7 or more against opponent off a road win are 2-44 SU with the average score differential clicking in at 21.4 ppg. 

Play on Duke to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Coastal Carolina vs UMass
UMass
-2½ -115 at BetPhoenix
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

 There is no doubt that Umass can put points on the board in bunches as is evident by 49, 42, 42, explosions in their L/3 games. They won one of those games, and lost the other two vs teams that are also explosive offensively. Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina despite improvement over last season, just don't have the guns to hang with this type of offence, and also own a inconsistent  defence that has allowed 42 points in back to back games.Look for Umass to bomb away on Coastal Carolina and for the visitors to punch back, but Im betting the bigger and more frequent shots will come from UMass. Knockout in the 4th quarter. 

CFB  home team vs. the money line (MASSACHUSETTS) - average team (+/- 0.6 YPP) against a poor team (outgained by 0.6 to 1.2 YPP), after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games are 25-1 L/10 seasons for a 96% conversion rate for bettors SU with the average margin of victory differential coming by 17.9 ppg.

UMass to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Bowling Green vs Ohio
Ohio
-16½ -106 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Ohio has played a tough schedule, with hard luck losses to two very good football teams Cincinnati U and N.Illinois last week. On both occasions they blew late leads, and if it were not for those heart breaking defeats they would be 5-1 on the season, with Virginia being the only team to surprisingly manhandle them 45-31. HC Solich is a solid coach and he now has the opportunity to get his troops back in a winning frame of mind .With that said, look for this explosive Bobcats group on their own home field to now take out their frustrations on a very over matched in disarray Bowling Green team that fired their coach this week.  

Note: Bowling Green is allowing  47.76 ppg overall this season and a even uglier 57.7 ppg on the road. 

BOWLING GREEN is 1-9 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 over the last 3 seasons. BG 21.9  Opponent 51.7 for a +28.8 point differential. 

Play on Ohio to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Mississippi State vs LSU
Mississippi State
+7 -120 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

Huge letdown situation for the LSU tigers after upsetting the Georgia Bulldogs last week , which puts them at a disadvantage vs a Mississippi State that can light the board in a hurry. Add to that the Tigers have Sabans Alabama on board for next week, and you can see taking points here with a under appreciated opponent is a viable wagering opportunity. 

Miss State is 4-0 ATS L/4 meetings, and have a good read on HC Oregeron as is evident by last seasons 37-7 beatdown of this same LSU program.

LSU is 3-13 ATS in home games versus excellent rushing teams - averaging 5.25 or more rushing yards/carry.

CFB road team (MISSISSIPPI ST) - off a home win against a conference rival, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Miss State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Oregon vs Washington State
Washington State
-2½ -109 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

Oregon is coming off a huge 30-27 OT win vs Washington last week, and now in a away game will be in a huge emotional letdown situation against a Washington State team that has the guns to take them out here at home. Note: Washington State is explosive passing team with its "Air Raid" offense under Leach. East Carolina graduate transfer Gardner Minshew is the top passer in the Pac-12 (averaging 403.7 yards a game) while completing 68.7 percent of his passes (215 of 313) with 19 touchdowns and only four interceptions. Strap on you jock straps fellas, this ride is going to get bumpy for the incoming Ducks. Cougars have won 10 straight at home dating back to last season, and have covered 8 straight in this series, and Im betting both streaks stay intact after the final whistle blows here tonight. 

Play on the Washington State Cougars 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Michigan vs Michigan State
Michigan State
+7 -107 at pinnacle
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

Before I get started Id like to say I acknowledge that Michigan has the better all round team in todays confrontation with Michigan State. But being a superior side does not guarantee a cover or even a win on any given Saturday, especially in a game between to long time rivals. Michigan State has also shown themselves golden  under D Antonio  tenure  going 3-0 ATS and 2-1 SU vs Harbaugh and the Wolverines and overall have cashed 10 straight in this series including 8 victories SU. Today I expect the Spartans No.1 ranked rush D, to be the difference maker as Wolverines QB Patterson who will be made one dimensional, which could easily see him make mistakes vs a front 7 that can definitely turn up the heat when motivated. 

Play on Michigan State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
NC State vs Clemson
NC State
+17 -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

These two teams Im betting will embark on a all out war this week that favours the dog getting a boatload full of points .Don't get me wrong Clemson is a great team and Death Valley is a nasty place to visit if your an opposing football program, but NC State is highly under rated and more than capable of actually pulling off the upset this week. The last two meetings in this series were won by the Tigers by 7 point counts and another one score game is a high probability event that makes this a  viable wager in this spot. Both these teams are well rested off a bye week, but in the recent past that has not been a recipe for success from a spread perspective for the Tigers as they have failed to cover 4 straight times. Meanwhile, the Wolfpack are 19-2 ATS off a bye,  vs conference foes and have covered 15 of 16 when made underdogs.

NC State has covered 9 straight ATS as 2 TD or more dogs. NC  State is also 12-2 ATS as DD underdogs coming off a SU win.  

NC STATE is 6-0 ATS  after a 2 game home stand over the last 3 seasons.

CLEMSON has failed to cover 19 of their L/27  after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins and 13-29 ATS L/42 after 3 more straight conference wins.

CFBroad team (NC STATE) - excellent offensive team (6.2 YPP or more) against a team with an excellent defense (4.2 YPP or less ), after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game are 35-10 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on NC State to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.