Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- CFL LATE STEAM- RedBalcks @ Argos

The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks go head to head with the Toronto Argos this Sunday evening . Which one of these teams has the edge? Get the gridiron info the books do not want you to have. Tests  12-3 80% CFL side run and a longer term 24-11 69% run!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 23, 2017
Tigers vs Twins
UNDER 10½ -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Minnesota starts rookie left-hander Adalberto Mejia (4-4, 4.22 ERA) try  on Sunday vs Detroit starting left-hander Matthew Boyd (3-5, 5.58). Detroit has done its worst offensive work on the road this season , hitting under the Mendoza line (.244 BA) and 4.3 rpg and I'm betting their bats will be muted in this game. Meanwhile, The Twins have done their worst work offensively vs left handed pitchers like Boyd averaging just 3.7 rpg via a ugly .238 BA. 

Todays home plate umpire has seen an average of 6.6 rpg and since 1997 has seen his home plate appearances produce a a combined average of 8 rpg. 

Boyd has gone under in 4 of his L/5 starts vs an above .500 team. Twins have gone under in 4 straight vs LHP and have gone under in 4 straight games 3s of the series. UNDER is 5-1 in Mejas L/6 starts.UNDER is  2-0-2 in Boyds L/4 vs Twins.

Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 23, 2017
Red Sox vs Angels
Angels
+123 at 5Dimes
Won
$123
Play Type: Premium

Porcello the Red Sox starter has been a hard luck pitcher this season, and has not received much run support. In 10 of his last 17 starts, the Red Sox, have scored two runs or fewer, including being shut out five times.He has not helped his own cause either,  posting a 4-12 record and 4.60 ERA while allowing 11.2 hits per nine innings. Meanwhile, Angles starter Bridwell (3-1, 3.18 ERA) has seen his team won 6 of his L/7 starts. He is a very under rated hurler, and gives his team a great chance at an underdog upset. The Angles are 13-3 in game 3 of a series and I'm betting they have the edge again. ( Halos are 7-3 L/10 in this series.

Play o the LAA to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 23, 2017
Blue Jays vs Indians
UNDER 8 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Free

The pitching matchup Sunday afternoon will feature the Indians  Corey Kluber (7-3, 2.86 ERA) vs. Toronto left-hander J.A. Happ (3-6, 3.55).In their last 12 games at Progressive Field, Indians starting pitchers have a 1.92 ERA. With Tribe starter Kluber on the hill the trend looks to continue.  In nine starts since coming off the DL, Kluber is 4-1 with a 1.56 ERA while controlling opposition offenses and allowing them a lowly  .160 BA. In those nine trips the hill , the righty  is averaging a over powering  13.4 strikeouts per nine innings (94 strikeouts in 63 1/3 innings) . Happ the Jays starter  has also been pitching well of late. In his last seven starts, Happ is 3-2 with a 2.43 ERA.  In six career appearances against Cleveland is 3-1 with a 2.86 ERA. I'm betting on another low scoring tilt here this afternoon.

TORONTO is 20-9 UNDER L/29 in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season with a combined average of 8.1 rpg.KLUBER is 11-2 UNDER L/13 in home games after a win with a combined average o 6 rpg. 

Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 like the Indians  - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 1.50 the last 5 games are 54-17 UNDER for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the UNDER 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.