Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- Black Friday College Football - S.Florida @ UCF

The South Florida Bulls take on the UCF Knights in Black Friday College Football action. Join me as I explain which side has the edge and more importantly which side covers and delivers us the cash. Ranked top 5 in the nation, and now testing a long term 156-113 58% CFB side run that has made my dime players more than $31430.00 in bankroll expanding profits! kick off after 3:30 pm et

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

Alex Smart Sports- Black Friday College Football - Iowa @ Nebraska

The Iowa Hawkeyes visit the Nebraska Cornhuskers in College Football action on Black Friday. Which side has the edge and more importantly which team will deliver us the cash? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is just a few clicks away. Ranked top 5 in the nation, and now testing a long term 156-113 58% CFB side run that has made my dime players more than $31430.00 in bankroll expanding profits! kick off after 4 pm et 

*This package includes 1 NCAA-F Spread pick

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#5 ranked CFB handicapper this season!

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*This subscription includes 4 NCAA-F picks

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**2014 NBA Champion!**
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Now on a 116-98 run with my last 222 Football picks! $1,000/game players have cashed in $23,600 on my Football picks since 10/22/16 and $22,600 on my Football picks since 10/22/16!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2017
Southern Illinois vs Louisville
Southern Illinois
+16 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

 After a single-digit win over 0-4 Omaha on Friday, No. 19 Louisville is facing a big step up in competition Tuesday night when Southern Illinois visits the KFC Yum! Center.. The Salukis (2-0) brought three starters and a host of role players back from last season's third-place Missouri Valley Conference team and have the edge on the line tonight.

Hinson is 32-13 ATS L/45 off a home win as the coach of S ILLINOIS.

Play on Southern Illinois to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2017
UCLA vs Wisconsin
Wisconsin
-2½ -126 at betonline
Lost
$126.0
Play Type: Premium

CBE HALL OF FAME CLASSIC - Final Rnd - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Wisconsin will face No. 23 UCLA in the consolation game of the CBE Hall of Fame Classic on Tuesday night at Sprint Center. My won cross reference power rankings suggest that Wisconsin should be 4 point favs, and are the superior overall team at the moment with these rosters on the floor.

UCLA is 4-14 ATS L/18  in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game
UCLA is 2-15 ATS L/15  after having won 2 of their last 3 games


CBB  underdog (UCLA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more) against a good offensive team (74-76 PPG) are 55-95 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors.

Play on Wisconsin to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2017
Alabama A&M vs Minnesota
Alabama A&M
+39½ -108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

Donnie Marsh the HC of Alabama A&M takes over a team with the worst RPI in the nation last season. That is in part why this chalk line is this big. This is a hard working group,  with some size, and I'm betting they stay within the number here and get the cover vs a Big 10 program Minnesota. Alabama A&M will face its second straight Top 25 team after losing 104-67 at No. 25 Alabama on Friday. Alabama A&M has hit 15 3-pointers and shot .500 from beyond the arc in its past two games. Johnson has four of the 3s and are capable of back door cover here.

Play on the Alabama A&M to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2017
Samford vs Valparaiso
Valparaiso
-10 -106 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Valparaiso won 3 straight Horizon league championships behind the duo of Tevonn Walker and Max Joseph, both from Montreal Canada. They lead their college programs in Canada winning the Vanier Cup as well, and now here now in the Missouri Valley Conference they prepare to make another run at a championship. Look for a  group that knows how to win to run rough shot over a Samford  side trying to figure out a guard heavy style of play.

CBB team  like SAMFORD - mediocre team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent, in the first five games of the season are 17-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate 67% for bettors.

Play on Valparaiso to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2017
Western Carolina vs Massachusetts
Massachusetts
-13 -108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

UMass has played decently to this point in the season , and is on route to a quick turnaround after last years subpar results. McCall and company could surprise the pundits this season, and as far as tonight goes, very much over match a W Carolina group, that limps into this season, after suffering the injury bug last year, as key players such as Parks and Williams are still not 100%. Lay the points with UMASS.

W CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS L/12 versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less losing SU by an average of 24.6 ppg. W CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS L/11 in road games when playing against a team with a winning record winning SU by an average 29.4 ppg. W CAROLINA is 4-16 ATS L/20 as an underdog of 10 or more points .W CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS L/6 as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points .


Home teams as a favorite or pick MASSACHUSETTS - after scoring 95 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 31- 6 ATS for a 80% conversion rate for bettors over the L/5 seasons.

Play on UMass to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 21, 2017
Davidson vs Nevada
Davidson
+6 -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Davidson after depending way to much on two key players last season, had a down campaign, but with recruiting remaining strong, they should be more versatile and explosive this season, as was evident in their first two games when they  scoried 108 and 110 points. Nevada is a fine team, but Davidson I'm betting gives them a big time battle, making getting the points golden. 

CBB team (NEVADA) - off a road win, first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 7+ spread covers in last 8 games 9-21 SU L/30 dating back 20 seasons.

Play on Davidson to cover 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 21, 2017
Oilers vs Blues
UNDER 5½ -107 Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

The Blues play a defensive minded style of hockey that works best in transition. Consistent goal tending and disciplined hockey, make them very hard to score against , as their 7th ranked GAA would indicate . Meanwhile, the Edmonton Oilers, a side with some big offensive names on their roster, ie (McDavid) are a side that is concentrating on playing much better defense, especially on the road thanks to their overall offense not being as productive as expected , ranking a lowly 29th in the league. The Oilers played a sloppy game last time out, losing 6-3, and their coach  Todd McLellan was not happy with their performance. QUOTE: "The goalies have to be better, the defense, the forwards, the coaches have to be better," coach Todd McLellan told the Edmonton Sun. "None of us have lived up to where we need to be and that's why we're where we are in the standings. "I'm not going to single out the goaltender. It's team-wide. END QUOTE: I'm expecting a more disciplined approach from this Oilers group tonight in a game I expect to remain on the low side of the number.


EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER  in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 3.4 gpp scored. EDMONTON is 6-0 UNDER  in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game this season with a combined average of 3.7 gpg scored. .ST LOUIS is 13-2 UNDER  L/15 in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) with a combined average of 4.5 gpg going on the score board.EDMONTON is 20-9 UNDER  in road games after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored which happened last time out.

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.Under is 20-5-3 in Blues last 28 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Under is 9-4-2 in Blues last 15 vs. Pacific.Under is 11-4-1 in Oilers last 16 games playing on 2 days rest.

Road teams where the total is 5.5 like EDMONTON - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, a struggling  team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 21, 2017
Bulls vs Lakers
Bulls
+6 -105 at Bovada
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a tilt of 2 fairly evenly matched teams, with home court advantage worth 3 points according to my own cross reference power rankings. Thus in a game I have pegged at close to one possession or 2 possession game, the Bulls  have an edge based on the numbers being offered by the sportsbooks both in Vegas and off shore. I will not be surprised at all if the Bulls pull of the SU upset here vs a Lakers team that should be on tired legs as they prepare to play their 8th game in 13 days.

LA LAKERS are 9-20 ATS  L/29 when playing 8 or more games in 14 days. LAKERS are 6-21 ATS  L/27 after playing 2 consecutive home games.CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS L/19  in road games after a game where they attempted 100 or more shots.

NBA teams like Chicago  have done well from a SU perspective vs NBA Home teams vs. the money line like the LAKERS- off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team winning SU 21 of the L/35 times for a 60% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.

NBA Home favorites like the Lakers - after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. 61-111 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of more than 64% for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 1 unit reg selection

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.