Sean Murphy Sean Murphy
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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Jan 21, 2018
Vikings vs Eagles
UNDER 39 -102 Lost
Play Type: Premium

My selection is on the ‘under’ between Minnesota and Philadelphia at 6:40 pm et on Sunday.

We’re dealing with a very low total by today’s NFL standards in this one, but I believe it’s warranted. The Vikings were ultimately involved in a high-scoring affair on paper in last week’s thrilling victory over the Saints, as the two teams combined to score 53 points, with 19 of those points coming in the final 3:01 of the fourth quarter. Up until that point, that game could have been classified as a defensive slugfest. Here, I’m expecting more of the same, minus the late explosion. Of course, the venue has to be considered here as the game will be played outdoors rather in the perfect offensive conditions we saw in Minnesota. I expect both teams to lean heavily on their ground attack, with a few shots through the air sprinkled in. We’re talking about two elite defensive teams, and it’s not as if we’re going to see a sudden identity shift with a trip to the Super Bowl hanging in the balance. Both quarterbacks deserve all the credit they’ve been receiving this week, but I don’t think we’ll see either squad put it all on their shoulders in this spot. Take the under (10*).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Jan 21, 2018
Jaguars vs Patriots
UNDER 46 -103 Won
Play Type: Top Premium

NFL Conference Championship Total of the Year. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Jacksonville and New England at 3:05 pm et on Sunday.

I’ll back the ‘under’ on Sunday afternoon in Foxborough. Both of these teams lit up the scoreboard in their respective Divisional Round games last weekend. The Jaguars were buoyed by a number of Steelers turnovers and took advantage of excellent field position throughout the game, an advantage they’re not likely to enjoy against the Pats this Sunday. Meanwhile, New England faced no resistance against a middle of the road Titans defense last Saturday night. Jacksonville’s defense is undoubtedly on another level by comparison. That’s not to say they’ll shut down the Pats vaunted offense by any means, but we don’t really need them to with the total set where it is. While the New England offense gets most of the credit, we’ve seen the defense come up big time and time again and I expect no different here as they take away Jacksonville’s best offensive weapon, RB Leonard Fournette, and force QB Blake Bortles into obvious passing situations. I believe there’s a good chance we see the winning side score in the 24-27 point range here, which puts us in good position to cash our ticket. Take the under (10*).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Jan 21, 2018
Jaguars vs Patriots
-7 -118 at BMaker
Play Type: Top Premium

NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. My selection is on New England minus the points over Jacksonville at 3:05 pm et on Sunday.

I’ll lay the points with the Patriots on Sunday as they host the upstart Jaguars with the AFC Championship on the line. The Jags are getting plenty of support following last week’s impressive wire-to-wire victory over the Steelers. That performance made it easy to forget their ugly 10-3 home win over Buffalo on Wild Card weekend. While there’s a lot to like about the Jags, I believe their run comes to an end here. The Patriots weren’t really tested in last week’s rout of the Titans. This is a team that certainly didn’t need any more extra motivation but it got just that when the story came out regarding dissension in the ranks between Brady, Bellichick and Kraft. While the Jags have the type of defense that should give the Pats some headaches, I simply feel that New England has too many weapons to contend with for four quarters. And on the other side of the football, you can count on New England to come up with a gameplan to take away Jacksonville’s motor, RB Leonard Fournette, and force QB Blake Bortles to beat them. That’s not a story that ends well as far as I’m concerned. As nice as it would be to see some new blood representing the AFC in the Super Bowl, I don’t see it this year. Take New England (10*).


Sean made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through August of 2009. He took the independent route in September of 2009 and while he's only been in the business for 14 years professionally, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase ‘find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life’ is Murph's mantra. Totals have driven Sean’s success over the years - no surprise as he's widely known as a ‘numbers guru’. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance – his knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted – and he is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. As a professional, Sean delivered seven out of nine winning NFL seasons from 2003 to 2011. He built The Miller Group from the ground up, turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, with a strong emphasis on totals. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box. His clients can attest to that – Sean’s unique analysis is what keeps them coming back. His approach could be considered both situational and statistical. Murphy doesn’t have a strong belief in systems, as they are rarely an indicator of future results. When you purchase one of his selections, you can always count on insightful and extensive analysis to back it up. If you're not learning something new, what are you paying for? Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his guaranteed selections warranting 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play. Rest assured that Sean is investing his own money in each and every play that he recommends to clients.