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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2018
Manhattan vs Iona
-7 -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Iona (9:00 ET): Iona has lost B2B games, both as favorites, and this is their final one at home this season. Therefore, I expect a pretty motivated side here tonight. The line is certainly "curious" here when you consider the Gaels beat Manhattan on a neutral floor back in January and did so, 78-65 as seven-point favorites. Now we're getting the same line at home? Sign me up! Iona can sew up a top four finish in the MAAC w/ a win tonight and third place (one-half game back) is certainly within reach. Finishing top three has its advantages for the postseason tournament as you not only draw a bye (top five teams do), but you also get to face an opponent that had to play a 1st rd game two days earlier. I'll lay the points here.

Manhattan is off a win here, 82-72 over Niagara, but this situation has NOT treated them well most of this season. The Jaspers season has been every bit as mediocre as their record indicates (13-15 SU overall, 8-8 MAAC) as they've only posted B2B wins three times and never won three in a row. Granted, their last three losses have all come by four points or less and they haven't lost a conference game by double digits since 1.5 at Monmouth. But I would not look for a repeat of what the Jaspers were able to do offensively to Niagara on Sunday. While team's last two home games have produced their highest two point totals in conference play, Manhattan still only averages 68.6 PPG for the season and 65.8 PPG on the road.

Iona is a high scoring team that averages 79.5 PPG. Their B2B losses have been by a combined five points. They lost by one to Niagara on Friday despite the Purple Eagles losing second leading scorer Mike Scott to injury. Two days later, Manhattan did not have to worry about defending Scott as he was out. There's a bit of a "hidden edge" for Iona here as they've had two extra days to prepare. Not sure they even need it though as the Gaels were able to down the Jaspers by 13 out in Long Island last month. Iona shot very well in that game (54.5 FG%) and that was before Manhattan lost a key rotational player, Aaron Walker Jr, who has since quit the team. Iona has owned Manhattan the L3 seasons, winning and covering all five meetings. They're better rested and more motivated and this line looks like a steal. 8* Iona 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Feb 23, 2018
Sharks vs Blackhawks
OVER 5½ -101 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Over Sharks/Blackhawks (8:35 ET): Chicago is desperately trying to right the ship here as they are stuck in last place in the Central w/ a lot of ground to make up and many teams to jump, if they are to make the playoffs for a 10th consecutive year. Last Saturday saw them snap an eight-game losing streak w/ a 7-1 win over Washington, looking like the "Blackhawks of old." However, they went right back to their losing ways on Monday as they fell at home to the Kings, 3-1. Wednesday, it was back into the win column w/ a 3-2 win over Ottawa. Tonight's opponent (San Jose) had been playing well. The keyword there though is "had." Last night, they were torched in Nashville, giving up seven goals in an ugly loss (I had the Preds!).

Prior to last night's 7-1 loss, the Sharks had won B2B games as well as five of their last six. Tonight marks their third road game in four nights, which is obviously not a great spot. I'm a little bit concerned over the goaltending right now. Aaron Dell's struggles continued last night as despite making 39 saves, he was responsible for all seven goals allowed. Martin Jones figures to be an obvious choice to start tonight, but I don't see him being able to maintain his save percentage (.947!) from the last four starts either. The Sharks obviously gave up a lot of shots last night (46) and figure to be under siege again here as the Blackhawks average a strong number of shots per game here at the United Center (36.1).

Chicago has its own issues between the pipes right now, namely the ongoing injury situation w/ Corey Crawford, whose absence has coincided w/ the team's tailspin. This is the first game of a back to back for the 'Hawks and HC Joel Quenneville has said he'll be using both Anton Forsberg and Jean-Francois Berube. Truthfully, neither is a great option right now. Forsberg certainly is the more experienced of the two, but the team has gone only 7-15 SU in his 22 starts. Berube has never started, only once coming on in relief and he gave up two goals on 14 shots. San Jose is long overdue to score on the power play as they are 0 for 18 w/ the man advantage the L7 games. This is a team that has the fifth ranked power play in the league this season (22.0%). They'd also scored a total of 12 goals in three games before last night's debacle. 10* Over Sharks/Blackhawks

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Mavs vs Lakers
UNDER 224 -110 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Under Mavs/Lakers (10:35 ET): It was certainly an "interesting" All-Star Break for the Mavs considering their non-descript 1st half to the season would make you think they were one of the least likely candidates to "make noise" during the week off. Of course, said "noise" was not positive as scandal has rocked the front office and owner Mark Cuban has admitted to actively promoting tanking. The Mavs are currently one of four teams in the Western Conference to be tied w/ only 18 wins and while the metrics may suggest they are the "best" of the lot (faint praise, I know!), I'm somewhat afraid the darkest days have yet to hit in "Big D." They open here against a Lakers team that's kind of in a "no-man's land" as the playoffs are not a real possibility, but they're also clearly better than the four 18-win teams.

Two weeks ago these two played and it was a 130-123 win for Dallas. The Mavs' scored at least 30 pts in all four quarters and the Lakers weren't too far behind, scoring 28+. Dirk Nowitzki scored a season-high 22 points in the win. Both teams shot about 54% from the floor and there were 28 total three-pointers made. I would not look for a repeat of that here. Dallas plays at one of the five slowest paces in the league and the Lakers are bottom five in offensive efficiency. When they met in January, the game stayed Under even w/ OT. The totals for those last two matchups were both 213.5. As you can see, the number is substantially higher here.

The Lakers are inconsistent on the defensive end, but still rank in the top half of the league in efficiency. Aside from what happened in the last meeting, Dallas is not a great offensive team. That was obvious in the two games that followed, which saw them score only 97 and 109 pts in losses to Houston and Sacramento. On the road, they barely average over 100 PPG. There could be issues w/ the Lakers offensively as well as Isaiah Thomas is still working his way into the offense and Lonzo Ball may return tonight as well. Those are two players who need the ball in their hands, so it could have an adverse effect on the rest of the team. 8* Under Mavs/Lakers

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Clippers vs Suns
UNDER 225½ -106 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Under Clippers/Suns (9:05 ET): Last night's result has certainly encouraged Over betting for tonight's Clippers tilt. Thursday saw them allow 134 in a loss to the Warriors, but it won't be the two-time champs they're facing tonight, rather it's an opponent at the complete opposite end of the spectrum. Prior to the All-Star Break, Phoenix was making its "case" to be considered the worst team in the sport as they've lost seven in a row and 12 of the last 13. The last five games have seen them outscored by an average of 26.6 points per game. That's landed them at the bottom of my own personal power rankings, but for tonight I'm more interested in the total. This number (which was too high to begin with) has been bet up far too much. Take the Over.

Five times during the seven-game losing streak, the Suns have not even broken 100 pts. On offense, they are 29th in efficiency for the season, so this is a major drop in class for the Clippers' defense, which simply had no answer for the Warriors last night. Steph Curry had 44 pts as the Dubs shot 62.7% as a team and made 14 of 25 three-point attempts. There were also a combined 68 free throws attempted in the game (34 for each side). Most, if not all, of those elements are "non-repeatable" tonight. Phoenix lacks a player like Curry that can "go off" (ok, maybe Devin Booker) and they are shooting just over 40 percent from the field the L5 games. The last time they faced the Clippers, they scored only 95 points on 36.1% shooting.

That last meeting, which took place in December, saw a total of 215. That's substantially lower than what we're getting here. Both meetings this season between these two have stayed Under. Those were both in LA. The L4 meetings in Phoenix have all gone Over, but I expect something different here as the Clips are likely "bushed" after last night's game. I still expect defensive improvement, simply based on the change in opponent, but the offense should decline as well. The Clips have shot 50% or better from the floor each of the last three games and simply are "due" for an off-shooting night. The team is just 1-7 SU in the second night of a back to back this season, averaging only 101.6 points per game. 8* Under Clippers/Suns

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 23, 2018
Wolves vs Rockets
UNDER 226 -107 Won
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Under T'wolves/Rockets (8:05 ET): There's a lot going on here. Houston went into the Break red hot having won 10 in a row. Even w/ Golden State winning last night, the Rockets remain percentage points ahead of the Warriors for the top spot in the Western Conference. They have a slightly better point differential for the year, thus there needs to be a very real conversation over Houston's chances of making it to the NBA Finals. Tonight, they'll host a good Minnesota team that is currently tied for 3rd (w/ San Antonio). Not only have the T'wolves met their lofty preseason expectations, they've arguably exceeded them. Clearly, the elements for a high-scoring affair are present in this one. But I look at that total and to me, the number screams "too high." Take the Under. 

Prior to the Break, Minnesota's last six games all went Over the total. That, along w/ the opponent, explains why the O/U line is so high tonight. Minnesota's last five games have seen an average of 238 total points per game scored, but that includes a wild OT affair w/ Cleveland that they lost 140-138. For the season, the average number of PPG scored when the T'wolves are involved is closer to 215. Now, up in Minnesota two weeks ago, these teams met and Houston won 126-108. The O/U line for that game wasn't quite as high as it is here. Both teams shot well in that game w/ Houston making 22 of its 47 three-point attempts to boot. I can't see that happening again, especially in the first game back from a long layoff. 

Over its last five games, Houston has allowed an average of just 100.2 PPG. That's better than usual, but not dramatically so. Even for them, this is a pretty high total. Note that in that last meeting, 10 of those 22 three-pointers made came in the 4Q. That's a performance that is unlikely to be repeated. Like the T'wolves, the Rockets' average number of total PPG comes up short of the number tonight. Their games average 219.5 PPG. One thing working in our favor here is Minnesota ranks near the bottom of the league in three-pointers made. They made only six the last game vs. Houston and that's not too much below the season average. Assuming Houston cools off from downtown, this will be a lower scoring game than two weeks ago. 10* Under T'wolves/Rockets


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