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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Dolphins vs Bills
OVER 39 -115 Won
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* Over 39 Points - Miami @ Buffalo, Sunday a 1:00 PM ET

This number is set too low in our opinion.  Most likely an overreaction to the Indy – Buffalo game last weekend that ended 13-7 but was played in blizzard like conditions.  This week the weather looks fine with temps in the 20’s but very little wind which is key.  Also no precipitation in the forecast.  It may also be set too low based on a Miami defense that shut down New England on Monday Night holding the Pats to 20 points.  However, that effort does not a great defense make.  If you look back at the recent performance of the Miami defense it’s been very poor.  Throw out their game vs Denver as the Broncos can’t score on anyone right now, and this defense has allowed 35, 30, 45, 27, 40 and 28 points in their previous 6 leading into their games vs Denver and New England.  Buffalo’s offense hasn’t put up a ton of points recently but they’ve been facing solid defenses over the last 5 weeks with the exception of Indy and again that was played in a blizzard.  Tyrod Taylor gets the start here and we expect the Bills to look much better offensively.  Miami is simply a better offense with Cutler at the helm.  They’ve now scored 20 or more in 7 of their last 9 games.  The Fins put up 27 on a New England defense last Monday that hadn’t allowed any of their previous 8 opponents to top 17 points.  This AFC East rivalry has been high scoring as of late with the last 4 games totaling 65, 53, 50, and 55 points.  These two have not had a total set in the 30’s since the 2010 season.  We take the OVER here.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Jets vs Saints
UNDER 46½ -108 Lost
Play Type: Premium

We will play UNDER 46.5 in the NY Jets at New Orleans Saints game, 1PM ET - The Saints are in a sandwich game here having just played a HUGE game against a Division rival (loss) in Atlanta AND they face them again next week. We expect a "just win" attitude here versus the Jets and a conservative game plan throughout. The Jets lost starting QB McCown last week who was really playing well. With him out of the lineup against the Broncos last week the Jets managed just 100 yards of total offense. QB Bryce Petty replaced McCown and promptly went 2 of 9 for 14 yards. That means a heavy dose of the running game here by New York which is their best chance for beating the Saints. New Orleans isn't great at stopping the run either as they rank 20th in rushing yards allowed per game this season.  The Jets defense has played well of late by holding 3 of their last four opponents to 300 or less total yards, but like the Saints, they are vulnerable against the run ranking 21st. New Orleans is 4th in rushing this year and even if Kamara isn't 100% they still have Ingram. Staying with our rushing theme, both of these teams are in the top half of the league in rushing attempts which clearly helps UNDER bettors. Lastly, the Saints are 27th in pace of play while the Jets are 31st. The Jets are really going to struggle to score here and we don't see New Orleans getting to 35+. The bet is UNDER!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Titans vs 49ers
-1 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* San Francisco 49ers (-1) over Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 4 PM ET - We faded this overrated Tennessee team last week and cashed in and we’ll do it again here.  The Titans are the most overrated team in the league.  They are 8-5 on the year but have been outgained and outscored on the season.  Last week @ Arizona they lost 12-7 and the offense stunk again.  The Titans put up barely 200 yards of total offense and QB Mariota was bad again throwing 2 interceptions.  The Titans are 3-4 on the road this year and Mariota has thrown just 3 TD’s to go along with 11 picks away from home on the season.  This is also their 4th road game in 5 weeks and they have already lost @ Miami and @ Arizona and squeaked by @ Indy and in OT @ Cleveland.  This Niner franchise now has some life with Jimmy Garoppolo at QB.  They have won back to back road games @ Chicago and @ Houston and they outgained those two teams by a combined 350 yards.  Garoppolo has thrown for over 600 yards in those two games.  Now they are back at home and confident.  The SF defense has been solid vs the rush this year allowing 3.9 YPC which is 7th in the NFL and if you can slow down Tennessee’s rushing attack you have them right where you want them.  That forces Mariota to carry the load and he hasn’t been able to do that this season.  Things that make you go hmmm…There is a reason the 3-10 team is a favorite over the 8-5 team.  The Niners are the better team right now and we’ll take them at home.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Dec 17, 2017
Packers vs Panthers
UNDER 47 -105 Lost
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* UNDER Green Bay Packers @ Carolina Panthers, 1PM ET> – Let’s not get carried away with the return of Aaron Rodgers for the Packers here as this won’t be same A-Rodg it was 8 weeks ago. Now he has to knock off the rust and you can bet head coach McCarthy won’t jeopardize his Hall of Fame QB with a bunch of 5 step drops and expose him to big hits. We expect a conservative game plan, lots of running and short passes.  That’s fine with the Packers though as their running game has been the 13th best in the NFL the past three games at 107YPG. In fact, the Packers have the 4th best yards per play running game in the NFL at 4.4YPR. Carolina certainly lacks a big play passing attack at 6.2 yards per passing attempt which is 22nd in the NFL. Overall the Panthers average just 195 passing yards per game which is 28th out of 32 teams in the league. What Carolina does well is run the football. They rank 5th in total rushing yards per game at 134.5YPG and 8th in rushing yards per attempt at 4.4. Where we’re going with this is that when teams run the football the clock continues to run and isn’t stopped by dropped passes. We also like the fact that Carolina is last in the league in pace of play and Green Bay is average. Carolina averages 23.1PPG this year while Green Bay scores 21.9PPG. The Packers just played two overtime games but if you eliminate the extra session they would have totaled just 42 and 40 points in regulation. With the move in the number on this game the value lies with the UNDER!


The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the industry.  Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s.  After learning the handicapping trade from one of the best in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since.  They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year.  They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 14 of their 19 football seasons giving them the much earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country.  ASA is located in Madison, WI and they have also become known for their “Midwest ties” and handicapping prowess in the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.     

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests  including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few.  They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. 

ASAwins handicapping methods have been developed through years of hard work and research. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections.  They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping.  That’s not where they stop however.  They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest).  On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own water tight power ratings to find where an edge might be found.  So as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all of these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years because they provide their customers with the one thing they look for in this industry and that is WINNING RESULTS! 

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so.  Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need.  Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you hire ASAwins as your stock brokers!