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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 18, 2018
Maryland-Baltimore County vs Kansas State
Kansas State
-10 -113 at betonline
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* Kansas State -10 over UMBC, Sunday at 7:45 PM ET

The dream ends for UMBC here.  This team played WAY above their heads the other night in a win over Virginia.  The Retrievers weren’t even the best team in their conference and in fact they were rated the 3rd best team in America East this year.  They came from 9 behind late in the America East championship game to beat Vermont at the buzzer.  That was a Vermont team that beat UMBC by 15 & 18 points during the regular season.  This team caught lightning in a bottle yesterday hitting a ridiculous 54% of their shots vs UVA.  The crazy part is, UMBC isn’t even a good shooting team.  They rank barely in the top 200 in offensive efficiency and finished 5th in America East in FG%.  They very rarely get to the FT line and have all kinds of trouble scoring inside.  This team is now in situation they are obviously not used to.  They weren’t even expected to be here and now the Retrievers have been thrust into the limelight for the last 48 hours.  KSU is another one of those tough teams we really like.  The Cats will dominate this team inside and on the glass.  They are a very good defensive team that held one of the better offenses in the nation (Creighton) to just 59 points on 34% shooting on Friday in a 10 point win. We have no doubt that UMBC comes back to earth offensively and struggles to score.  On the flip side we look for KSU to play very well offensively vs a UMBC defense that ranks 227th in eFG% defense.  Let’s not overreact to one game where a team that simply isn’t very good played the absolute best they could possibly play on both ends of the court.  They played a grand total of ONE tourney team this year (before UVA) and lost by 25 vs Arizona.  KSU dominates this game and moves on to the Sweet 16.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 18, 2018
Clemson vs Auburn
+1½ -107 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* Clemson +1.5 over Auburn, Sunday at 7:10 PM  ET

Clemson was impressive yesterday handling a very good NM State team from start to finish and led by 18 at one point in the 2nd half.  Many felt the Aggies had a great shot at the upset as the line dropped all the way to Clemson -3.5.  This is a veteran team with all upperclassmen in the starting line up.  They are tough minded and great defensively (9th nationally in defensive efficiency).  We trust them to play well here.  Not so much with Auburn.  They are a young team that relies very heavily on the 3 point shot.  They score very little inside the arc (341st nationally in percentage of points from 2 point range) and won’t here as Clemson is bigger and stronger inside.  On Friday vs College of Charleston, the Tigers created 21 turnovers AND took 18 more FT attempts yet still trailed with under 3:00 minutes to go!  They won by 4 (we were on C of C) but were not impressive.  They played a very weak non-conference slate and while they began the SEC in red hot manner, the Tigers were just 4-5 down the stretch.  We expect Clemson to dominate on the interior and slow this game down which is not what Auburn wants.  We like the tougher team as a dog here.  Take Clemson.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 18, 2018
Marshall vs West Virginia
West Virginia
-12½ -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* West Virginia -12.5 over Marshall, Sunday at 9:40 PM ET

We used Marshall +12 over Wichita on Friday and picked up an easy win with the Herd winning outright.  We felt that the Herd would be able to score vs a Wichita defense that was subpar.  We also felt the Shockers were over rated all season long and took advantage of that.  This is a totally different scenario.  Marshall used a ton of energy in that game just 48 hours ago and played their starters massive minutes.  Leading scorer Elmore played the full 40 minutes and 3 other starters played 35+ minutes.  They were completely gassed at the end of that game.  Now they must play a physical, pressing WVU defense on short rest.  A defense that is impossible to prepare for in a short amount of time.  We expect Marshall’s “shooting legs” to struggle here having to face constant pressure the entire game with almost no bench to rely on.  The Herd are a weak rebounding team (worst in the Dance) and we felt they’d struggle vs Wichita in that aspect and they did.  The Shockers were +14 on the boards and pulled down a whopping 41% of their misses.  That didn’t hurt Marshall as much as it could have because they were able to hit 47% of their shots.  Now with tired legs, as we mentioned, they face a WVU team that is a great rebounding team (4th nationally in offensive rebounding) and the huge rebounding edge will be magnified in this one.  We also look for Marshall’s turnover numbers to be high here as they wear down in the 2nd half in this one.  The Mountaineers won big over Murray State in their opener and were able to spread out their minutes because of that with only 1 starter logging 30 or more minutes.  This line is high but not out of whack as WVU is better than Wichita and laying pretty much the same number.  These long time in-state rivals renew their match up which stopped after the 2016 season and WVU logs an easy win here. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 18, 2018
Oilers vs Lightning
OVER 6 -115 Lost
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER: Edmonton Oilers @ Tampa Bay Lightning, Sunday at 5:05 PM ET

Both of these teams were in action yesterday and both used their #1 goalie. That means back-up goalies today and the Oilers Al Montoya has struggled and the over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts. The Bolts Peter Budaj has also struggled and the over is 3-0 in his last 3 starts. The Lightning were shutout yesterday and the over is 7-1 this season when Tampa Bay is off of a game where they were held to 1 goal or less. Also, the over is 9-1 this season when Tampa is in the 2nd game of a back to back. As for Edmonton, only 5 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record has resulted in an under. The Bolts 3-0 home shutout loss yesterday was preceded by a stretch where TB scored an average of 4.2 goals per game and the over went 8-2 in those 10 games. This total opened at a 6.5 and dropped to a 6 but the odds makers had it right and this one easily gets to 7 goals or more! Bet the OVER in Tampa Bay in very early evening action Sunday.


The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the industry.  Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s.  After learning the handicapping trade from one of the best in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since.  They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year.  They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 14 of their 19 football seasons giving them the much earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country.  ASA is located in Madison, WI and they have also become known for their “Midwest ties” and handicapping prowess in the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.     

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests  including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few.  They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. 

ASAwins handicapping methods have been developed through years of hard work and research. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections.  They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping.  That’s not where they stop however.  They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest).  On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own water tight power ratings to find where an edge might be found.  So as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all of these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years because they provide their customers with the one thing they look for in this industry and that is WINNING RESULTS! 

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so.  Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need.  Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you hire ASAwins as your stock brokers!