NFL :   Lions vs. Saints

Oct 15, 2017
final SIDE OU Score
Lions 5 Over
Saints -5 52
Free Picks
Jimmy Boyd
NFL | Oct 15
Lions vs Saints
51-115   at   Bovada

Free Pick on Lions/Saints UNDER 

The books have set the total too high for Sunday's NFL action that has the Saints hosting the Lions. New Orleans is perceived to be one of the league's top scoring offenses, but the fact of the matter is, they have scored 20 or fewer points in 3 of their 4 games this season.

I look for the Saints offense to struggle to reach that mark again, as they take on a vastly improved Detroit defense. So much attention is paid to New Orleans' passing attack, which is annually one of the best in the NFL, but like every other team they need some balance. The only game the Saints have eclipsed 20 points is against the Panthers, where they had 149 rushing yards. In the games where they failed to eclipse 20 points they have had fewer than 90 yards rushing. Good chance they struggle on the ground here, as the Lions own the leagues 3rd ranked run defense, giving up just 74.6 ypg (allowing just 3.3 yards/carry). 

I know the Saints defense has been awful in previous seasons and the numbers aren't great early on in 2017, but New Orleans has a lot of young talent on that side of the ball and been really good the last two games, holding the Panthers to just 13 points on the road and recording their first shutout in years in their last game against the Dolphins. With the way Detroit's offensive line has been struggling (allowed 12 sacks last 2 games) and the Saints coming off a bye, I look for the defense to hold their own here against Stafford and the Lions offense. 

UNDER is 7-3 in the Saints last 10 against a team with a winning record and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU win by more than 14 points. UNDER is also 12-3 in the Lions last 15 road games against NFC opponents and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 road games after playing in a game with 50 or more combined points. Take the UNDER! 

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Pure Lock
NFL | Oct 15
Lions vs Saints
-4.5-110   at   GTBets

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New Orleans -4 1/2

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Frank Sawyer
NFL | Oct 15
Lions vs Saints
6-105   at   betonline

Take the Detroit Lions plus the points versus the New Orleans Saints. Detroit (3-2) looks to bounce-back from a 27-24 upset loss at home to Carolina as a 2-point favorite. QB Matthew Stafford is not 100% given a bum ankle and the team is dealing with injuries on both sides of the line — but the Lions are being given too many points give the steady line movement no the Saints’ side of this equation. Detroit managed only 242 total yards against the Panthers — and they have then covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after failing to generate at least 350 yards in their last game. The Lions have also covered the point spread in 4 straight road games with the Total set at 49.5 or higher. New Orleans (2-2) is riding high coming off their bye week after shutting out Miami in London back on October 1st by a 20-0 score. But the Saints have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their last game. New Orleans has also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a win by at least two touchdowns. Take Detroit plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

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Pro Computer Gambler
NFL | Oct 15
Lions vs Saints
4.5-105   at   Bovada
In the news:*The New Orleans Saints have traded Adrian Peterson to the Arizona Cardinals for a conditional pick*Video of Miami Dolphins Offensive Line Coach Using Drugs Before Team Meeting  With the league worst (by a landslide) ppg in the NFL, you have to wonder what came first: the chicken or        the egg there. He resigned a few days ago; perhaps the offense plays 110% moving forward for a new  Coach?*The Browns are now  0-15 since Oct 25, 2015 on the road Humbling us all.  Only 43% or so of the public on the Browns right now.... --NFL 2017 RAW NUMBERS The Selections for Week 6: NFLOct 15 4:05 pmBucs vs Cardinals
Bucs PK for 0.5 units
-=TOP PLAY=- NFLOct 15 4:25 pmSteelers vs Chiefs
Steelers +5 for 0.45 units 
Thoughts: Tampa Bay looks great this week as a road team on long rest after playing a Thursdaygame at home. The Cardinals, on the other hand look pretty beaten down and they have the League's lowest ATS margin (home). 

NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20171015, 'Steelers')
NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Buccaneers are 11-0 ATS (+9.59 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they allowed four or fewer third down conversions.KEY TREND:  Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Chiefs!
The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS (-10.50 ppg) since Jan 24, 2016 as a dogThe Cardinals are 4-13 ATS (-2.15 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 at home

Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points


NFLOct 15 1:00 pmLions vs Saints
Lions +4.5Small beer money play or pass.