NFL :   Packers vs. Vikings

Oct 15, 2017
final SIDE OU Score
Packers -3 46½ 10
Vikings 3 23
Free Picks
Jack Jones
NFL | Oct 15
Packers vs Vikings
Vikings
3100   at   Bovada
started

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Minnesota Vikings +3

This line indicates that the Packers would be favored by roughly 6 points against the Minnesota Vikings on a neutral field.  There's no way the Packers are 6 points better than the Vikings, so the value is on the home underdog here catching a field goal Sunday.

And this is a huge statement game for the Vikings.  They are 3-2 on the season while the Packers are 4-1, so they cannot afford a loss if they are serious about winning the division.  They would essentially fall three games behind the Packers because of the tiebreaker with a loss.  So you can bet that they will be putting their best foot forward here Sunday.

The Packers are the flavor of the week right now after Aaron Rodgers' heroics in Dallas last week.  But now he's up against a real defense in the Vikings, and the best defense he has faced all season.  After all, the Vikings held this high-powered Packers offense to just 14 points in a home win last season.

Minnesota comes in giving up just 18.6 points and 309 yards per game.  And the offense has been pretty good under Case Keenum, especially last week against the Bears.  Once Keenum replaced an injured Sam Bradford, the Vikings took off on offense.  The Vikings scored 17 points in the second half to win the game.  Keenum finished 17-of-21 passing for 140 yards and a touchdown against a good Bears defense that had shut down both Atlanta and Pittsburgh at home earlier this season.

The Vikings have one of the more underrated home-field advantages in the NFL, especially in their new stadium.  The Vikings are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games, including a sensational 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

The Packers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.  Minnesota is 6-0 ATS off a win over a division opponent over the last three seasons.  I think it's Minnesota that plays with a sense of urgency here, while Green Bay could have a letdown off its big win at Dallas last week.  Bet the Vikings Sunday.

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Scott Rickenbach
NFL | Oct 15
Packers vs Vikings
Vikings
3.5-115   at   Bovada
started

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EARLY Free Pick NFL Sunday: Minnesota Vikings (+) vs Green Bay Packers @ 1 ET - Even though QB Sam Bradford is out for this game, Minnesota actually moved the ball much better against the Bears on Monday night once he was replaced. This is a great spot to fade the Packers as they are off of their late game win at Dallas. Packers are 1-4 ATS (and SU!) as a road fave of 3 points or less. 3 is the dominant number on this game as of early Sunday morning but there is some 3.5 out there which is, of course, what you should grab if you have access to it. The Vikings are on a 15-5 ATS run in home games. Also, the Vikes are a perfect 6-0 ATS when off of a win against a division rival. In comparing these two teams, Minny has the better ground game on offense and the Vikings also have the much better rushing defense. Don't be surprised if the running game ends up being a key factor in this one. Free Pick on MINNESOTA plus the points in EARLY Sunday action. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach