NFL :   Rams vs. Broncos

Oct 14, 2018
final SIDE OU Score
Rams -7 52½ 23
Broncos 7 20
Free Picks
Jimmy Boyd
NFL | Oct 14
Rams vs Broncos
Broncos
52-109   at   GTBets
started

1* Free Pick on Rams/Broncos UNDER 52

The total here has been set way too high. With the way the Rams have been scoring points and the OVER cashing each of the last 3 weeks, the public will be lining up to take the OVER, especially given the Broncos come in having allowed at least 27 points in each of their last 3. 

While they did allow 27 to Chiefs at home on MNF in Week 4, they really held Mahomes and that KC offense in check for 3+ quarters. It took some ridiculous plays (left-handed throw) by Mahomes for the Chiefs to get to 27. I think that Denver defense will have a similar strong showing here at home against the Rams high-powered attack. 

What most people will fail to check is the forecast for this game. Mother Nature figures to lend a helping hand in slowing down LA, as temps are expected to be well below freezing (24-25 degrees), with a slight chance of snow. 

As for the Rams defense, expect a better showing here against Case Keenum, as the last 3 poor showings by the defense have come against Philip Rivers, Kirk Cousins and Russel Wilson. Denver hasn't score more than 23 since their opener and I expect that trend to continue here. 

UNDER is 11-2 in the Broncos last 13 after giving up 25 or more in 3 straight games and 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs a team with a winning road record. UNDER is also 9-3 in the Rams last 12 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! 

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Brad Diamond
NFL | Oct 14
Rams vs Broncos
Broncos
50-107   at   5Dimes
started

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Brandon Lee
NFL | Oct 14
Rams vs Broncos
Broncos
51-105   at   pinnacle
started

10* FREE NFL PICK (OVER 51)

I'll take my chances with the OVER 51 between the Rams and Broncos. I want to start off by saying, I’m well aware of the fact that it’s expected to be below-freezing with a chance of snow. Everyone overreacts when they see snow in the forecast and just assume it’s going to lead to a low-scoring game. I would much rather play in snow than rain, plus it’s the games with the strong winds that really impact the scoring. In fact, a lot of times, snow on the field really makes things tough for the defense, as they have to try and react to the offensive player.

The other thing here is that we can expect the Rams offense to be near full strength, as wide outs Cooper Kupp and Brandin Cooks are both expected to clear concussion protocol by Sunday. When this offense has all it’s weapons, it’s one of the best in the league. Not only are they averaging 34.6 ppg, but they haven’t scored fewer than 33 in any single contest.

Denver is perceived to be this great defensive team, but that’s just not the case with this team. The Broncos are T-23rd in scoring defense (26.2 ppg) and are 26th in total defense (395.8 ypg). I get it was a letdown spot, but they just gave up 512 total yards to the Jets and 34 points to a NY team that hadn’t scored more than 17 in each of their previous 3 games.

Hard to get to 50+ points without both teams scoring and I’m confident Denver’s offense being able to contribute enough to push this OVER the mark. While the Broncos are just 27th in scoring at 20.0 ppg, they are 12th in the NFL in total offense at 393.8 ypg. I think playing at home against what figures to be a fatigued Rams defense that is still without one of their best players in corner Aqib Talib, will definitely help the Broncos offense get going.

I also think the last few weeks we have seen the true colors of this LA defense and how they can be exploited. Twice this season the Rams have allowed an opposing quarterback to throw for 300 yards and twice they have allowed teams to run for at least 140 yards. Denver has the 3rd ranked rushing attack, which I think is huge, as it will allow Case Keenum and that offense to play in front of the chains. Look for Denver to take some shots on 2nd and short and pick up some big plays via play action.

OVER is 10-2 in the Rams last 12 off a division game and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 off a win against a division rival. OVER is also 25-9 in the Broncos last 34 games against a team that is averaging 29+ ppg. Take the OVER!

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Art Aronson
NFL | Oct 14
Rams vs Broncos
Rams
-6.5-113   at   GTBets
started

This is a 1* Free Play on the LA Rams.

LA comes in off a tough 33-31 road win in Seattle and remains unbeaten. We think that streak continues at Mile High with a convincing victory Sunday afternoon. Denver enters off a terrible 34-16 loss to the Jets. We have a hard time seeing the Broncos’ “on again, off again” defense slowing down Rams’ QB Jared Goff, who has 1,727 passing yards and a 12:4 TD:INT already. The Broncos gave up over 300 yards rushing last week as well, which doesn’t bode well facing LA RB Todd Gurley, who had 77 rushing yards last week and who also already has 415 receiving yards. Overall the Rams are averaging 34.6 points and allowing 19.6. The Broncos are averaging 20 PPG and they’re allowing 26.2. Note as well that the Rams are 6-4 ATS in their last ten non-conference games, while the Broncos are just 4-5 ATS in their last nine non-conference contests. While LA couldn’t cover the spread on the road last weekend, the conditions seems right for a big blowout this time around. Consider the RAMS on Sunday afternoon.

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