6* OVER 10.5 runs in Boston - going to what is normally my lowest rating, a 6*, on all my plays today. I know the Yankees are still down a couple guys in the lineup but they have plenty of guys still in there with experience against Martin Perez and he comes into this start struggling. The Red Sox southpaw has a 4.85 ERA his last 3 starts but it easily could be much higher as he has been getting hit hard. On the season, Perez has a 1.80 WHIP at Fenway Park so his 5.80 ERA at home is certainly no fluke and arguably could be even higher. Hitter friendly conditions at Fenway Park expected this afternoon as strong winds likely to be blowing out on a summer afternoon. This sets up well for a high-scoring game because Domingo German has struggled in his last two starts at Boston with 8 earned runs allowed in 8 and 1/3 innings. German is off a short outing versus the Phillies and could struggle here in a venue he often struggles at. This is particularly true with Boston off yesterday's 4-3 loss where they gave up the late lead and the Red Sox had won 4 straight games and averaged 8 runs per game during that hot streak. The Yankees have won 5 of 7 games and averaged 5.6 runs per game in the 5 wins. This one shapes up well to be a slugfest. 6* OVER 10.5 in Boston

6* OVER 10 runs in Kansas City - The Royals are starting Daniel Lynch for the first time since May at the MLB level. However, the fact he is getting this start shows you just how thin KC is in terms of pitching. At the MLB level, Lynch allowed 14 earned runs in 8 innings and this included facing the Tigers. Lynch has since been pitching in the minors where, at the AAA level, he has a 5.84 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP. Yesterday's game was a 9-8 Royals win and Lynch facing a Tigers team that has averaged 6.2 runs per game last 10 games is unlikely to help him. However, his Royals teammates have been heating up at the plate too and should enjoy success against Tarik Skubal. Of his 7 road starts only 2 have resulted in an under and Skubal has a 5.45 ERA away from home this season. The Royals have now won 4 straight games and averaged 6 runs per game. Don't be surprised if each team hits their recent average of 6 runs in this one! Should be another high-scoring game at Kauffman Stadium. 6* OVER 10 in Kansas City

6* Houston Astros Run Line -1.5 runs -115 - going to what is normally my lowest rating, a 6*, on all my plays today. The Rangers have lost 11 straight games. All 11 have been by 2 or more runs. That said, we get line value here with the Astros at home at a pick'em price on the run line. The home team has dominated this series in recent seasons and that includes Houston now being 21-2 last 23 as a host against the Rangers. Greinke expected to start and he has a 3.58 ERA this season and the Astros are 14-6 in his starts this year. Hearn likely to start for Texas and he is used to working out of the bullpen and has not pitched more than 2 innings since mid-April. Also, with him not working deep a struggling Foltynewicz could be called upon early out of the bullpen. Either way the Rangers losing streak looks highly likely to continue and the margin should be big. 6* HOUSTON -1.5 -115

Free Pick - UNDER 9.5 in Philadelphia - The Phillies Aaron Nola has a 3.56 ERA at home this season. 2 of Nola's 3 starts against the Braves this season have resulted in an under. The Braves Touki Toussaint was excellent in his first start for Atlanta this year and that was against a dangerous San Diego lineup. The Phillies have been struggling at the plate and this will be Toussaint's first start against them so that could be tough on the lineup. The Braves were on a run of 3 unders in 4 games before yesterday's game and they had been held to 2 runs or less in 3 of those 4 games. Philadelphia should bounce back after getting blasted yesterday and Nola capable of a strong home start but look for the Phillies lineup to struggle against Toussaint. The result should be a low-scoring battle here. Free Pick UNDER 9.5 in Philadelphia