Mike Lundin Mike Lundin
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**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

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**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 23, 2021
Avalanche vs Lightning
OVER 6 -102 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

AVALANCE @ LIGHTNING BOOKIE BU$TER TOTAL

Both the Lightning and the Avs have been among the worst defensive teams in the league with both sides allowing 4.3 goals per game. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings and I expect this to be another shootout between two defensively inept teams. 

8* play on OVER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
UMass vs Florida State
UNDER 59 -108 Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

UMASS @ FLORIDA STATE TOTAL

Florida State is 4-2 to the under on the season. The Seminoles are averaging only 26.7 points per game and their 68.0 plays per game rank 88th in the nation. The Minutemen average even fewer with 63.8 plays per game, which ranks 123rd of 130 teams. UMass has played three straight unders and they held UConn to 13 points when they snapped a 16-game losing streak two weeks ago.

8* play on UNDER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Buffalo vs Akron
Buffalo
-12 -110 at linepros
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

BUFFALO @ AKRON SIDE

Buffalo snapped a two-game skid with a 27-26 win against Ohio last week. While the scoreline was close note that the Bills had 26 first downs to Ohio's 16. Buffalo is averaging 199 rushing yards per game (35th) and this is a great matchup for them, facing an Akron defense that is allowing 216 rushing yards per game (122nd). 

8* play on Buffalo. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 23, 2021
Grizzlies vs Clippers
Clippers
-3½ -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

LATE-NIGHT GRIZZLIES @ CLIPPERS NBA *BAILOUT PLAY*

The Clippers opened the season with a 115-113 loss as an underdog at Golden State on Thursday. I think they'll pick up their first win of the season as a home favorite against Memphis on Saturday. Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 47-22 ATS in their last 69 games following a straight up loss. The Grizzlies opened the season with a 132-121 win as a favorite against Cleveland. They are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

8* play on Los Angeles Clippers. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 23, 2021
Mavs vs Raptors
Mavs
-3½ -105 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S NBA GAME OF THE WEEK (SIDE)

Tough spot for Toronto who will be playing on no rest after blowing the doors off the Celtis in Boston last night for their first win of the season. The Mavs are in a bounce-back spot after coming out completely flat in a 113-87 loss to Atlanta in their season opener. 

Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

10* play on Dallas Mavericks. 

Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Oct 23, 2021
Queens Park Rangers vs Peterborough United
OVER 2½ -130 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

5* play on OVER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Oct 23, 2021
Reading vs Blackburn Rovers
OVER 2½ -103 Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Premium

5* play on OVER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
Soccer  |  Oct 23, 2021
Crewe Alexandra vs Wycombe Wanderers
OVER 2½ -120 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

5* play on OVER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Wisconsin vs Purdue
Purdue
+3½ -110 at Caesars
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

WISCONSIN @ PURDUE SIDE

The Purdue Boilermakers pulled off a huge upset last week when they won 24-7 as an 11-point underdog at Iowa. The Badgers are aiming for their third win in a row following back-to-back victories over Illinois and Army.

Wisconsin's defense is elite, but their offense is mediocre at best and they pose very little threat through the air. Quarterback Graham Mertz has 893 passing yards with only two touchdowns against seven interceptions. I think Purdue can hang around I would not be surprised if the home team wins this one outright. 

Badgers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog. Boilermakers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog.

8* play on Purdue Boilermakers. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Northwestern vs Michigan
Northwestern
+23½ -105 at linepros
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

NORTHWESTERN @ MICHIGAN SIDE

The Michigan Wolverines are a perfect 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS on the season and they figure to be fresh and well-rested coming off their bye week. Still, I think this is too many points to cover against a Wildcats team that is coming off an upset win against Rutgers. Northwestern is only 2-4 ATS on the season, but 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games as a road underdog. The Wolverines are also at risk of getting caught looking ahead to their showdown against the Michigan State  Spartans next week. 

Lastly, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, and in four of the last five games, the margin of victory has come by eight points or fewer.

8* play on Northwestern Wildcats. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 23, 2021
Georgia Tech vs Virginia
OVER 63 -116 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

NCAAF MAJOR WAGER ALERT - GEORGIA TECH/VIRGINIA GAME OF THE WEEK (TOTAL)

The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 526 yards per game, which ranks fifth in the nation, and QB Brennan Armstrong leads the nation with 2,824 passing yards. Despite their impressive offensive output, they're 6-1 to the under, but I expect to see a high-scoring affair when they host Georgia Tech Saturday night. 

The Yellow Jackets have allowed a total of 79 points over their last two games, so I don't think Virginia will have any trouble to put points on the board, but as Georgia Tech is coming off its bye I expect them to put up its fair share of points as well and push the tempo when holding the ball. 

The Cavaliers shut out Duke last week, but over is 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

10* play on OVER. 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 24, 2021
Celtics vs Rockets
Celtics
-4½ -110 at all
Play Type: Premium

CELTICS @ ROCKETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER

Great spot to back the Celtics as a road favorite. They should come into this one with a chip on their shoulder as they're still looking for their first win of the season. The Celtics took a 115-83 loss as a 7-point home favorite against Toronto in their last game while the Rockets are coming off their first win of the season, a 124-91 triumph over the Oklahoma City Thunder. 

Rockets are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Celtics are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on Boston Celtics. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Bears vs Bucs
UNDER 47 -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

BEARS @ BUCS TOTAL

The Chicago Bears are 5-1 to the under on the season and they average an NFL-worst 246.2 yards of total offense per game. Their defense has been holding up though, and I think they'll be able to keep Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers in check. Brady will be without two reliable weapons in tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) and wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle). The Bucs are a big favorite (rightly so), and I think they'll pull away early and then keep the Bears at arms' length while controlling the clock.

8* play on UNDER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Chiefs vs Titans
OVER 57½ -102 Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Premium

CHIEFS @ TITANS TOTAL

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

In addition to the Titans covering the spread, I don't think the bookmakers can make the number for the total big enough. 

Over is 8-1 in Titans last 9 games as an underdog. Over is 26-9-1 in Titans last 36 games overall. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on OVER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Jets vs Patriots
UNDER 43 -111 Lost
$111.0
Play Type: Premium

JETS @ PATRIOTS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging an NFL-worst 13.4 points per game while the Pats have the no. 9 scoring defense with 21.2 points per game allowed. Eight of the last 11 meetings have gone under the total, and the Pats lack offensive firepower as well. New England gave up 550+ yards and 35 points to Dallas last week, but under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. I expect this to be a defensive grind. 

8* play on UNDER. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Falcons vs Dolphins
Falcons
-124 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

FALCONS @ DOLPHINS SPREAD

Good spot to back the Falcons who have had a week off since defeating the Jets in London. The Dolphins are not granted that same luxury as they're coming off straight off a 23-20 loss to Jacksonville across the pond last week. Miami has really struggled to put points on the board lately while Atlanta's offense has been heating up. 

8* play on Atlanta Falcons. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Colts vs 49ers
49ers
-4 -109 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

COLTS @ NINERS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL SHOWDOWN

The Niners have suffered three straight defeats SU and ATS, but I think they'll snap the skid when hosting Indianapolis here in Week 7. San Francisco is allowing only 217 passing yards per game (7th), and Colts' QB Carson Wentz could be in for a reality check after putting up big numbers against Baltimore and Houston. Additionally, wideout T.Y. Hilton's status is uncertain as he's dealing with a quadriceps injury. 

As for the Niners' offense, all signs point to QB Jimmy Garoppolo returning from a calf injury. Coming out of their bye, the whole team has had time to get some rest and heal up. I think we'll see a big game from the home team. 

8* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Washington Football Team vs Packers
Washington Football Team
+9 -110 at Caesars
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

WASHINGTON @ GREEN BAY SIDE

Washington is only 1-5 ATS on the season while Green Bay is 5-1 ATS, but that's also a reason why we're getting a couple of extra points on the underdog in this matchup. I would not be surprised to see the Packers coming out flat following a 24-14 triumph over NFC North rivals Chicago, a game that was a one-score game with less than five minutes to go. Washington is dealing with injuries, but I think the Football Team will step up after getting completely outplayed by Kansas City last week. 

8* play on Washington. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Chiefs vs Titans
Titans
+5½ -105 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans. 

SERVICE BIO

Mike Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the bookmakers. All Mike's plays come with write ups backing up his selection, giving you a glimpse into his process of breaking down games.

----How to bet Mike Lundin's Picks----

 Mike rates his plays between 1-10* with 10* being the maximum. Most plays will be 8-10* as he advocates more of a flat betting approach in order to minimize the variance. Mike recommends betting his 8* plays with 2.5% of your bankroll and the 10* releases with 3% of your bankroll. Bet Mike's free picks with 1.5% of your bankroll. Just as in cash game poker, the goal is not to win that giant pot once in a while, but to build your bankroll slow and steady by identifying +EV situations to exploit. 

----How does Mike Lundin make his Picks----

As a former online poker pro, Mike knows the value of creating systems and winning formulas through statistical analysis and math to use as a baseline, but much like poker, sports are played by human beings with emotions and feelings. Identifying letdown spots, bounce-back spots and situational betting in general plays a big part in Mike's success in picking winners, but he's also not a stranger to locking in a bet based on stats and trends alone.