North Carolina vs Florida State Free Pick January 16, 2021

The Florida State Seminoles have played only one game in 2021 but showed no signs of rust when they put a 105-73 beating on NC State on Wednesday. 

I like them to keep rolling here against a North Carolina team that might be riding a three-game winning streak, but it had failed to cover the number in four straight games prior to an 81-75 win over Syracuse last time out. The Tar Heels earned the win, but they were not shooting the ball well at all, making only 40% of their shots from the field overall and 21% from behind the arc. 

Tar Heels are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win.

Free pick on Florida State. 

Mike Lundin has a 4-game premium pick card loaded for Saturday, with GAME OF THE MONTH releases from three different sports! Grab a subscription and get access to: 

- *BIG BET ALERT* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* TOP PLAY  
- RAMS @ PACKERS 8* NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND BOOKIE BREAKER
- *BIG BET ALERT* NBA EAST GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* TOP PLAY 
- RAVENS @ BILLS DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE MONTH

*BIG BET ALERT* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* TOP PLAY  

Alabama is 5-1 SU at home on the season but looks overvalued by the market after winning six straight, including an upset win at Kentucky last time out. For this one, Bama will be without starters Jordan Bruner and Herb Jones who both got injured in the most recent victory. 

The win over the Wildcats sets up a potential flat spot for the Tide this Saturday while Arkansas is undervalued after losing three of four and taking a 92-76 beating at LSU last time out.

10* play on Arkansas. 

*BIG BET ALERT* NBA EAST GAME OF THE MONTH - 10* TOP PLAY 

Toronto has been one of the biggest disappointments in the league (3-8 SU and ATS) and won the last encounter of this doubleheader by only three points. 

I think the Raptors struggles will continue against the Hornets who are 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 road games.

Additionally, note that Hornets are 17-7 ATS in the last 24 meetings in Toronto and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall. 

10* play on Charlotte. 

8* play on OVER

RAMS @ PACKERS 8* NFL DIVISIONAL ROUND BOOKIE BREAKER

The Green Bay Packers are riding a six-game winning streak and they made light work of the Chicago Bears in their regular-season finale, but I think they're in for a tough game here in the Divisional Round. 

The Los Angeles Rams boast a truly elite defense, and their offense also came alive and put up 30 points on Seattle in their Wild Card Round clash. They did it despite starting QB Jared Goff (broken thumb) being less than 100%, as they leaned on their running game to move the sticks. Cam Akers rumbled for 131 yards on 28 attempts, and he should have good success here against a Packers D that ranks 13th in the NFL against the run. 

The Packers win this one outright, but not by a touchdown.

8* play on Los Angeles Rams. 

RAVENS @ BILLS DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE MONTH

The Buffalo Bills win over the Colts in the Wild Card Round was not quite as dominant as their run they closed out the regular season on, but they got the job done in the end. 

I think they match up rather well with the Ravens who had some early trouble of their own with the Titans in their Wild Card Round game. 

The Bills offense is the hottest in the NFL, and while the Ravens can run the football, they rank dead last for passing yards per game which is not great when playing from behind, which I think they will here. 

10* play on Buffalo Bills.