Larry Ness Larry Ness
Wednesday 'Grand Slam' with 10*s in CBB, CFB, the NBA and the NHL (see promos). 4-0 'Grand Slam' sweep last Thursday. Deja vu? 'ASSAULT' on NFL pointspread resumes Thursday (43-27-1, +$12,303 Y-T-D in NFL 2019).
Larry's NFL 'Best Bet' Rivalry Rout-Pit/Cle (SIX in a row?)

Larry doesn't always play Thursday NFL games but he takes a 5-game winning streak (Weeks 4, 5, 7, 9 & 10) into Week 11's Pit/Cle contest. Larry's 36th NFL season as a professional handicapper has been "special," as he's 43-27-1 (+$12,303) YTD! Join Larry as he jump starts 'lucky' Week 11 with his "Best Bet" Rivalry Rout. Can you say SIX in a row?

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You'd be hard pressed to find a more experienced handicapper than 34 year legend Larry Ness! Larry has put up some impressive numbers on this site since coming over almost two years ago and he's ready to offer up all of the next year for one LOW LOW FLASH SALE PRICE!

Larry has set several records in many sports since coming here, but his MLB program is what has set him apart. Make sure you're there for the first pitch of the season, all the way until the final out of the World Series! 

 

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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 14, 2019
Mavs vs. Knicks
Mavs
-7 -109
  at  GTBETS
in 10h
My free play is on the Dal Mavericks at 8:05 ET. The NY Knicks finished with the NBA's worst record last season (17-65), as well as its worst home record of 9-32 (Bulls were also 9-32 at home). New York lost 120-102 on Tuesday at Chicago, falling to 2-9, which matches its worst 11-game start in franchise history. The Knicks will try to pull out of their rut and save coach David Fizdale's job when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday in the first game of TNT's doubleheader. The Mavs are 6-4 to open the current season but enter having lost TWO of three. Dallas lost 116-106 at Boston on Monday but that surely is nothing to be ashamed of, as the Celtics own the NBA's best record of 9-1 (NINE straight win since an opening-game loss at Philly). However, the Mavs can't quite explain how they lost 106-102 last Friday night at home vs the Knicks, as 11-point favorites. Dallas lost that contest despite a triple-double out of Luka Doncic (38-14-10) and 28 & 9 from former Knick Kristaps Porzingis. Porzingis missed the entire 2018-19 season while recovering from knee surgery but is having a solid start to this season (18.3 & 7.9), although he was held to a season-low four points on 1-of-11 shooting on Monday. Porzingis and Doncic (28.3-10.3-9.1) are hoping to lead the Mavs back to the playoffs this season, after missing in each of the last three seasons. A press conference with New York's general manager and the team president questioning the team's effort did not seem to snap the Knicks out of their funk, as they lost by 18 that night in Chicago. Fizdale is thought to be on the 'hot seat' but New York's players were ready to back their coach after Tuesday's setback. "He's trying to pull us toward a victory in different ways and at the same time we've been coming up short," veteran forward Taj Gibson told reporters of Fizdale. "We've just got to do a lot better and it's not just on him, it's on us, too. He's been trying to will us to wins and it's been going the opposite way as of late." Forward Morris (18.5 & 6.) and rookie RJ Barrett (16.-5.8-4.1) are the Knicks' top players but both are shooting 41% from the floor on the season. The Knicks are averaging only 99.5 PPG (29th) on an NBA-worst 41.6% shooting. In this quick turnaround from last Friday, expect the Mavs to gain a measure of revenge from that embarrassing home loss. Lay the points. Good luck...Larry
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 13, 2019
LSU vs VCU
VCU
-3 -105 at pinnacle
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Las Vegas Insider is on VCU at 6:00 ET.

No. 23 LSU (1-0) visits Richmond, Va to take on VCU on Wednesday, which opened No. 25 in the AP's preseason poll but dropped out in Monday's new poll, despite opening 2-0. LSU head coach Will Wade returns to the place where he won 51 games and made a pair of NCAA Tournaments in two seasons as the school's head coach. Wade was 51-20 at VCU from 2015-17 before taking the job in Baton Rouge,where he helped the 28-7 Tigers win their first SEC regular-season title since 2009 last season Lost in the Sweet 16). Mike Rhoads took over at VCU for Wade when he left for LSU and after the Rams won a disappointing 18 games in his first season, went 25-8 last season as VCU earned an NCAA bid for the NINTH time in the last 11 seasons.

Most likely remember that Wade was suspended by LSU last March due to allegations over illegal recruiting charges. He's back (for now), so let's talk basketball. Gone from last year's team are PG Waters (15.3 & 5.8 APG) plus frontcourt players the 6-9 Reid (13.6 & 7.2) and the 6-11 Bigby-Williams (7.9 & 6.7). Key players returning this this year are guards Javonte Smart (in the center of LY's recruiting scandal) and Skylar Mays. Smart had 21 points in Friday's 88-79 home win over Bowling Green, while Mays had 18 & 8. Sophomore forward Emmitt Williams had 21 points on 5-of-9 shooting from the floor, after averaging just 7.0 PPG last season. Fellow sophomore forward Davis had 13 points and seven rebounds, coming off averaging 5.3 & 4.0 last year. The team's most promising freshman is the 6-9 Trendon Watford, who debuted with 10 points and seven rebounds.

The Rams return all four of their double-figure scorers from last season’s team, as the lone starter lost from the 2018-19 team was the 6-8 Mobley. He started 23 games and chipped in modest totals of 4.2 & 2.5 (no real loss). The core of this year's team will be senior guards Jenkins (14.0 & 4.5) and Evans (12.5), plus 6-7 junior Santos-Silva (12.0 & 12.5). However, don't dismiss senior guard Mike’L Simms just yet, as while he's gone just 2-of-9 from the floor in the first two games, he as just ONE turnover in 49 total minutes.

“VCU is a great place,” Will Wade told reporters. “As a coach you travel around a lot. That’s the longest I’ve been in one place. I was there four years as an assistant. I was there two years as the head coach. They’ve got tremendous fans. … It will be rowdy, but it should be fun.” My bet follows the saying, "You can't go home." VCU is well-balanced and well-coached and will be looking to get back into the top-25 by knocking off LSU in this one. This contest is VCU's lone real test before playing in Niceville, Fl (Emerald Coast Classic) Nov 29-30. Wade and his Tigers will fine "nothing fun" about this visit to the Siegal Center!

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 13, 2019
Clippers vs Rockets
Rockets
PK -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Western Conference Game of the Month is on the Hou Rockets at 7:35 ET.

The LA Clippers and Houston Rockets have each opened 7-3 and will square off in the first game of Wednesday's ESPN doubleheader. Kawhi Leonard led the Toronto Raptors to an NBA championship in his lone season with the team last spring and helped the Clippers to a 98-88 victory over his former team on Monday. Leonard struggled in going just 2-of-11 from the floor on Monday but finished with 12 points, 11 rebounds, nine assists and three steals. The Rockets played on Monday night as well, winning 122-166 at New Orleans, as James Harden scored 39 points (more on him in a bit).

Leonard is the 'face' of the Clippers, averaging 26.9-8.5-5.9 but Paul George is expected back soon, giving LA a formidable "1-2 punch!" As good Leonard and George are, LA's outstanding bench will be a huge part of any success the Clippers will have this postseason. Three-time Sixth Man of the Year Lou Williams (22.3 & 5.6 APG) plus forwards Harrell (19.8 & 7.1) and Green (9.1 & 6.3), give the Clippers one of the NBA's deepest and best group of bench players.

Houston's Monday win was its FOURTH in a row and Harden's 39 points was the fourth straight game in which he has scored at least 35 points. Harden's average of 37.3 points through the first 10 games is the highest the league has seen through a 10-game start since the NBA-ABA merger, besting Michael Jordan's 36.9 points in 1988-89 and 1986-87.Westbrook (21.9-8.7-7.4) has meshed well with Harden and both will be counted on even more than usual with third guard Eric Gordon (16.6 PPG scorer in his career) undergoing arthroscopic knee surgery on Wednesday, sidelining him for about six weeks.One of the league's best-kept 'secrets' is center Clint Capela, who is averaging 13.5 & 11.7.

Kawhi has sat out two games due to "load management" and both were in games against quality opponents. He missed LA's game at Utah Oct 30 and then missed the team's home game on against Giannis and the Bucks (still don't get that one?). The Clippers will play at New Orleans tomorrow and one would expect Kawhi to play here but you just never know. The Clipper may have held Toronto to just 10 points in the 4th on Monday and to 88 points for the game but the Clippers have allowed a WHOPPING 120.7 PPG in their only three road games this season and here, face the NBA's top-scoring team (Rockets average 120.3 PPG). 'LOVE' the Rockets at the opening number but if Kawhi sits, I'll lay the higher number, as well.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 13, 2019
Maple Leafs vs Islanders
Islanders
-116 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* Game of the Week is on the NY Islanders at 7:05 ET.

The New York Islanders ended a two-year playoff drought last season, earning 103 points. They then surprised by sweeping the Penguins in the first round, advancing to the second round of the playoffs for only the second time in the last 25 years. However, they found themselves on the wrong side of a series sweep in the second round, losing to Carolina. The Islanders lost THREE of their first four contests of the current season but then won 10 in a row heading into last Thursday's home game with the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Islanders played two terrific periods of hockey in that game and entered the final period up 3-0. However, Pittsburgh erased a three-goal deficit in the third period and snapped its three-game skid when Bryan Rust scored his second goal of the game in OT. The Isles have played just once since losing to teh Pens, eking out a 2-1 home win over Florida on Saturday. That means that they will carry a 12-game point streak (11-0-1) into Wednesday's game with the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs.

The 9-6-4 Maple Leafs haven't played since Sunday, when they fell to the host Chicago Blackhawks, 5-4. John Taveres will make another trip to his old haunts when his Maple Leafs face the Islanders. Tavares left the New York Islanders to join the Toronto Maple Leafs after the 2017-18 season and was named the Leafs' captain prior to this season after serving as the Islanders' captain for his final five seasons with the club. He was considered the face of the Islanders' franchise for nine years and was booed each time he touched the puck and derisively serenaded in New York's 6-1 romp over Toronto on Feb 28 of last season. Tavares has 11 points on the season but it is the team's other two centers, Matthews (13 goals and 25 points) and Marner (14 assist and 18 points), who are Toronto's top point-producers. However, Marner is out for at least four weeks due to a high-ankle sprain.

Tavares' exit was supposed to cripple the Islanders, who missed the playoffs by 17 points in his final season with the team and were facing the prospect of splitting home games between Brooklyn's Barclays Center and Nassau Coliseum while waiting for a new arena to be built on the Nassau/Queens border. However, under the new management team of general manager Lou Lamoriello and head coach Barry Trotz, the now defensive-minded Islanders earned 48 wins and recorded 103 points, their highest totals in each category since the 1983-84 season. The Isles are using the same formula this season, as after allowing the fewest goals in the NHL last year, they have given up just 35 goals this year, 10 fewer than the next stingiest team.

Thomas Greiss watched as Robin Lehner handled the bulk of the work in the postseason but he sports a 7-1-1 mark with a 1.88 GAA and .942 SP this season. However, the Islanders, who have employed a true time share with Semyon Varlamov (5-2-01 2.37 GGA & .924 SP) starting the odd-numbered games and Greiss starting the even-numbered contest. It's Varlamov "turn" and he is expected to get the start. In stark contrast, the Maple Leafs have allowed the sixth-most goals in the league (62), giving up at least FOUR goals eight times in 19 games (surrendered four goals in the first period of Sunday's loss!). Isles win here and extend that point streak to a 'lucky' 13.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 13, 2019
Northern Illinois vs Toledo
Toledo
-2 -110 at jazz
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* MAC Game of the Year is on Toledo at 8:00 ET.

The Northern Illinois Huskies have been a "bowl regular," making 12 bowl appearances over the previous 15 seasons, including 10 of the last 11. Rod Carey was the school's head coach the last six seasons but he left for Temple. Tom Hammond, the Baltimore Ravens running backs coach.from 2014-18, was given his first head coaching job at DeKalb. Northern Illinois beat Illinois St 24-10 to open the 2019 season but the Huskies then lost FOUR in a row. NIU lost three in a row on the road (35-17 at Utah, 44-8 at Nebraska and 24-18 at Vandy), before losing its MAC opener 27-20 at home to Ball St. The Huskies then won two of three MAC games but on Nov 2, got crushed 48-10 at Central Michigan, leaving them 3-6 (2-3 in the MAC West) on the season.

Toledo knows all about winning seasons, as the Rockets entered 2019 with 21 in their last 25. The Rockets have posted a winning record in each of the last NINE years (eight bowl trips) and at 6-3 (3-2 in the MAC West), are bowl-eligible and barring an 0-3 finish, will record a NINTH winning season the last 10 seasons. This matchup has decided the West winner in FOUR of the last five years but that will NOT be the case in 2019.

Marcus Childers started at QB for NIU against Akron, as Ross Bowers was recovering from a concussion. He only attempted nine passes but completed seven for 71 yards, while throwing three TD passes to THREE different receivers. NIU won that game 49-0 but the Zips are 0-9 and own CFB's longest active losing streak at 14 in a row (pending Tuesday's outcome vs EMU). Bowers was back in action at CMU on Nov 2 but threw three INTs in the 48-10 loss. He's completing only 57.9% with more INTs (8) than TD passes (6) on the season. Let's NOT put all the blame on Bowers, as Toledo managed just 22 yards rushing against CMU, averaging 0.9 YPA. NIU checks in averaging a putrid 118.8 YPG on the ground (117th) on 3.4 YPA. Defensively, NIU is allowing 27.9 PPG (70th).

Toledo has some QB issues as well, as Mitchell Guadagni has completed 64.8% with eight TDs and just two INTs but hasn't played since Oct 12. He continues to be listed as questionable and Toledo has started Eli Peters the last two games. Peters had 18 TDs and seven INTs in 2018 and while he's thrown for a modest 332 yards (3 TDs / 1 INT) in two starts, the Rockestshave won both while scoring 37 and 35 points. RB Bryant Koback (1,099 yards on 6.5 YPA with 10 TDs) ran for 259 yards and two TDs in that 37-34 OT win over Eastern Michigan and added 67 yards with two TDs against Kent on Nov 5, before leaving the game with an injury. However, fellow RB Shakif Seymour (560 yards on 4.7 YPA and 4 TDs) took over and ran for a career high 175 yards with two TDs. The Toledo D has struggled all season, allowing 467.9 YPG (118th), while allowing 28.6 YPG (75th).

The winner of this contest will NOT represent the West in the MAC championship game (Dec 7) but of the two schools, Toledo still can finish with a fairly good season. This is Toledo's final road game and the Rockets will be tested at Buffalo and CMU in their final two games. Toledo is 5-0 SU at home this season (outscoring opponents 35.2-to-22.4), improving their home record to 48-12 in their 60 games at the Glass Bowl. The Huskies play their final road game of 2019 in this one, checking in with a 1-5 record, getting outscored 35.7-to-19.3 PPG in 2019. What changes here?

Good luck...Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 65 (turns 66 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 36th year as a professional handicapper in August of 2019.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."

Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.

Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET). 36-Club Play: It represents Larry's 36 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season. LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s). Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s). Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s). Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports). PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price). Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price). Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!". Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."