NFL :   Ravens vs. Lions

Sep 26, 2021
final SIDE OU Score
Ravens -8 43½ 19
Lions 8 17
Free Picks
John Martin
NFL | Sep 26
Ravens vs Lions
Ravens
-7.5-111   at   pinnacle
started

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Ravens -7.5

I'm not worried at all about a letdown by the Baltimore Ravens after their win over the Chiefs last week.  If they were 2-0 this would be a letdown spot, but they are 1-1 after losing to the Raiders in Week 1.  They won't be taking the Lions lightly, and they will make easy work of them just as the 49ers and Packers have before them.  The 49ers were up 41-15 on the Lions with two minutes left in the 4th quarter before a ferocious rally by Detroit.  And the Packers put them away in the second half with a dominant 35-17 victory.  It's clear the Lions have one of the worst defenses in the NFL as they are giving up 38 points per game.  Jared Goff is being asked to do too much.  And Lamar Jackson and company always seem to throttle teams that they are supposed to beat like the Lions.  The Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games after scoring 30 points or more last game.  Baltimore is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games.  The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as favorites.  Give me the Ravens.

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Larry Ness
NFL | Sep 26
Ravens vs Lions
Ravens
-7.5-103   at   pinnacle
started

My free play is on the Bal Raven s at 1:00 ET.

The Ravens let a Week 1 MNF game 'slip away' in an OT loss at the LV Raiders but rebounded for a "clutch" 36-35 win at home over the Chiefs last Sunday night. Baltimore is on the road Sunday afternoon in Detroit to play a Lions team that has opened 0-2, losing 41-33 at home to the 49ers (trailed 38-10 in the last third quarter) in Week 1 and then in Week 2's MNF game, lost 35-17 at the Packers (got outscored 21-0 in the second half).

Detroit's longtime QB Mathew Stafford is now in LA playing for the Rams, while Jared Goff (former Rams QB) is under center in Detroit. Goff is completing 68.8% of his passes for 584 yards (5 TDs / 2 INTs) but while Detroit averages 5.2 YPC on the ground, the Lions are averaging a modest 112.0 YPG rushing. The offense may have its work cut out for it weekly, if the first two games are any indication. The Lions welcome the Ravens to Detroit allowing 38.0 PPG, to rank 31st of 32 teams. Surprisingly, the Ravens' D, typically among the best in the NFL, has allowed 448.0 YPG (31st) and 34.0 PPG (29th). However, while Baltimore's defense WILL improve, it's likely that Detroit's D is headed on a similar path as we've seen the first two weeks, for the rest of the season.

Baltimore has been the NFL's top rushing team for each of the last two seasons (was 2nd in 2018) but prior to the start of 2020, lost RBs Dobbins (805 yards & 8 TDs) and Edwards (723 yards & 8 TDs) to injuries. However, led by QB Lamar Jckson (193 yards on 6.9 YPC and two TDs), the Ravens lead the NFL in rushing through two weeks at 220.0 YPG (on 5.9 YPC). Baltimore has 116 MORE rushing yards than any other team and out-rushes Detroit by 108 YPG! Jackson has completed 66.1% of his passes for 474 yards (2 TDs / 2 INTs) and had to gain a lot of confidence by beating Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs "down the stretch" last Sunday night. Jackson had a passing and rushing TD in a game for the 10th time in the win over KC and he now has a total of 89 TDs accounted for in 39 career starts. 

John Harbaugh always has his team ready to go out on the road, as the Ravens are 21-9-3 ATS on the road since the start of the 2017 season, the best ATS road record of any NFL team in that span. Lay the points!

Good luck...Larry

Sean Murphy
NFL | Sep 26
Ravens vs Lions
Lions
50-110   at   pinnacle
started

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Detroit at 1 pm et on Sunday.

This game has shootout potential as the Lions return home licking their wounds following Monday's second half collapse in Green Bay. Detroit could very well end up having the league's worst defense and that was on full display against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers on Monday night. Green Bay moved the football up and down the field at will in that game, only easing off the gas after building a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter. Jeff Okudah, arguably the Lions best defender, was already sidelined and now his backup, Ifeatu Melifonwu, is out due to injury as well. Two keys to their defensive line, Kevin Strong and Trey Flowers are both nursing injuries and questionable to play on Sunday. Even if they can go, they haven't been all that effective anyway as opposing ground games have absolutely torched the Lions through the first two games. While we've yet to see one of the key pieces of the Ravens offense, TE Mark Andrews, really get rolling this season, he should feast here against a Detroit defense that has 130 yards on seven catches to opposing tight ends this season. The real question here is whether the Lions offense can do enough to contribute to get this one up and 'over' the relatively lofty total. I believe they can and will. While Detroit is dealing with injuries on the defensive side of the football, it doesn't hold a candle to what Baltimore has had to endure on the injury front. The Ravens are depleted in the secondary and without much of a pass rush to speak of, the door is open for Lions QB Jared Goff to once again pad his stats in this one. In Monday's analysis of our 'over' play in Green Bay we noted that TE T.J. Hockenson was in line for a big performance and he ultimately delivered. Well, he's well-positioned to go off once again here, noting that Baltimore has allowed 17 catches and 214 receiving yards, not to mention two touchdowns, against opposing tight ends through two games this season. There's little reason to expect Detroit to bang its head against the wall trying to run the football against the Ravens here. Instead, look for Goff to bomb away, likely playing from behind for much of the afternoon. Each of Detroit's first two games have sailed 'over' the total this season and the same goes for Baltimore. Until the oddsmakers make the necessary adjustments, we'll expect more of the same. Take the over.

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